Climate change in the Mediterranean Basin (Part II): a review of challenges and uncertainties in climate change modeling and impact analyses
The Mediterranean basin is particularly prone to climate change and vulnerable to its
impacts. One of the most relevant consequences of climate change, especially for the …
impacts. One of the most relevant consequences of climate change, especially for the …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events
Compound hot–dry events—co-occurring hot and dry extremes—frequently cause damages
to human and natural systems, often exceeding separate impacts from heatwaves and …
to human and natural systems, often exceeding separate impacts from heatwaves and …
[HTML][HTML] Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability
KB Rodgers, SS Lee, N Rosenbloom… - Earth System …, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
While climate change mitigation targets necessarily concern maximum mean state changes,
understanding impacts and developing adaptation strategies will be largely contingent on …
understanding impacts and developing adaptation strategies will be largely contingent on …
Uncertainty analysis in multi‐sector systems: Considerations for risk analysis, projection, and planning for complex systems
Simulation models of multi‐sector systems are increasingly used to understand societal
resilience to climate and economic shocks and change. However, multi‐sector systems are …
resilience to climate and economic shocks and change. However, multi‐sector systems are …
Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations
Societally relevant weather impacts typically result from compound events, which are rare
combinations of weather and climate drivers. Focussing on four event types arising from …
combinations of weather and climate drivers. Focussing on four event types arising from …
Climate change increases risk of extreme rainfall following wildfire in the western United States
Post-wildfire extreme rainfall events can have destructive impacts in the western United
States. Using two climate model large ensembles, we assess the future risk of extreme fire …
States. Using two climate model large ensembles, we assess the future risk of extreme fire …
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble
Single model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) are valuable tools that can be used
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
Climate model Selection by Independence, Performance, and Spread (ClimSIPS v1. 0.1) for regional applications
As the number of models in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) archives
increase from generation to generation, there is a pressing need for guidance on how to …
increase from generation to generation, there is a pressing need for guidance on how to …
Significantly wetter or drier future conditions for one to two thirds of the world's population
Future projections of precipitation are uncertain, hampering effective climate adaptation
strategies globally. Our understanding of changes across multiple climate model simulations …
strategies globally. Our understanding of changes across multiple climate model simulations …