A new parametrization of correlation matrices

I Archakov, PR Hansen - Econometrica, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
We introduce a novel parametrization of the correlation matrix. The reparametrization
facilitates modeling of correlation and covariance matrices by an unrestricted vector, where …

A simple method for predicting covariance matrices of financial returns

K Johansson, MG Ogut, M Pelger… - … and Trends® in …, 2023 - nowpublishers.com
We consider the well-studied problem of predicting the timevarying covariance matrix of a
vector of financial returns. Popular methods range from simple predictors like rolling window …

Multivariate leverage effects and realized semicovariance GARCH models

T Bollerslev, AJ Patton, R Quaedvlieg - Journal of Econometrics, 2020 - Elsevier
We propose new asymmetric multivariate volatility models. The models exploit estimates of
variances and covariances based on the signs of high-frequency returns, measures known …

A multivariate realized GARCH model

I Archakov, PR Hansen, A Lunde - arXiv preprint arXiv:2012.02708, 2020 - arxiv.org
We propose a novel class of multivariate GARCH models that utilize realized measures of
volatilities and correlations. The central component is an unconstrained vector …

A model confidence set approach to the combination of multivariate volatility forecasts

A Amendola, M Braione, V Candila, G Storti - International Journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
In predicting conditional covariance matrices of financial portfolios, practitioners are required
to choose among several alternative options, facing a number of different sources of …

Multivariate GARCH models for large-scale applications: A survey

K Boudt, A Galanos, S Payseur, E Zivot - Handbook of statistics, 2019 - Elsevier
This chapter provides a survey of various multivariate GARCH specifications that model the
temporal dependence in the second moment of multivariate return series processes. The …

Positive semidefinite integrated covariance estimation, factorizations and asynchronicity

K Boudt, S Laurent, A Lunde, R Quaedvlieg… - Journal of …, 2017 - Elsevier
An estimator of the ex-post covariation of log-prices under asynchronicity and microstructure
noise is proposed. It uses the Cholesky factorization of the covariance matrix in order to …

Estimating and forecasting large panels of volatilities with approximate dynamic factor models

M Luciani, D Veredas - Journal of Forecasting, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
We introduce an approximate dynamic factor model for modeling and forecasting large
panels of realized volatilities. Since the model is estimated by means of principal …

Graph-based methods for forecasting realized covariances

C Zhang, XS Pu, M Cucuringu… - Mihai and Dong, Xiaowen …, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
We forecast the realized covariance matrix of asset returns in the US equity market by
exploiting the predictive information of graphs in volatility and correlation. Specifically, we …

A DCC-type approach for realized covariance modeling with score-driven dynamics

D Vassallo, G Buccheri, F Corsi - International Journal of Forecasting, 2021 - Elsevier
We propose a class of score-driven realized covariance models where volatilities and
correlations are separately estimated. We can thus combine univariate realized volatility …