The physics of climate variability and climate change

M Ghil, V Lucarini - Reviews of Modern Physics, 2020 - APS
The climate is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex, and heterogeneous system that is
out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of …

[HTML][HTML] Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2. 0–an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of …

V Eyring, L Bock, A Lauer, M Righi… - Geoscientific Model …, 2020 - gmd.copernicus.org
Abstract The Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) is a community diagnostics
and performance metrics tool designed to improve comprehensive and routine evaluation of …

Detecting and attributing change in climate and complex systems: Foundations, Green's functions, and nonlinear fingerprints

V Lucarini, MD Chekroun - Physical Review Letters, 2024 - APS
Detection and attribution (DA) studies are cornerstones of climate science, providing crucial
evidence for policy decisions. Their goal is to link observed climate change patterns to …

Beyond forcing scenarios: predicting climate change through response operators in a coupled general circulation model

V Lembo, V Lucarini, F Ragone - Scientific Reports, 2020 - nature.com
Abstract Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate
system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use …

Evaluating the performance of climate models based on Wasserstein distance

G Vissio, V Lembo, V Lucarini… - Geophysical Research …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a methodology for intercomparing climate models and evaluating their
performance against benchmarks based on the use of the Wasserstein distance (WD). This …

Co-existing climate attractors in a coupled aquaplanet

M Brunetti, J Kasparian, C Vérard - Climate Dynamics, 2019 - Springer
The first step in exploring the properties of dynamical systems like the Earth climate is to
identify the different phase space regions where the trajectories asymptotically evolve …

Variability in the global energy budget and transports 1985–2017

C Liu, RP Allan, M Mayer, P Hyder, D Desbruyères… - Climate Dynamics, 2020 - Springer
The study of energy flows in the Earth system is essential for understanding current climate
change. To understand how energy is accumulating and being distributed within the climate …

The climate system and the second law of thermodynamics

MS Singh, ME O'Neill - Reviews of Modern Physics, 2022 - APS
The second law of thermodynamics implies a relationship between the net entropy export by
Earth and its internal irreversible entropy production. The application of this constraint for the …

The Lorenz energy cycle: trends and the impact of modes of climate variability

Q Ma, V Lembo, CLE Franzke - Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
The atmospheric circulation is driven by heat transport from the tropics to the polar regions,
embedding energy conversions between available potential and kinetic energy through …

Robustness of competing climatic states

C Ragon, V Lembo, V Lucarini, C Vérard… - Journal of …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The climate is a nonequilibrium system undergoing the continuous action of forcing and
dissipation. Under the effect of a spatially inhomogeneous absorption of solar energy, all the …