Nonuniversal power law distribution of intensities of the self-excited Hawkes process: a field-theoretical approach
K Kanazawa, D Sornette - Physical review letters, 2020 - APS
The Hawkes self-excited point process provides an efficient representation of the bursty
intermittent dynamics of many physical, biological, geological, and economic systems. By …
intermittent dynamics of many physical, biological, geological, and economic systems. By …
Ubiquitous power law scaling in nonlinear self-excited Hawkes processes
K Kanazawa, D Sornette - Physical review letters, 2021 - APS
The origin (s) of the ubiquity of probability distribution functions with power law tails is still a
matter of fascination and investigation in many scientific fields from linguistic, social …
matter of fascination and investigation in many scientific fields from linguistic, social …
Asymptotic solutions to nonlinear Hawkes processes: A systematic classification of the steady-state solutions
K Kanazawa, D Sornette - Physical Review Research, 2023 - APS
The linear Hawkes point process is a first-order non-Markovian stochastic model of
intermittent bursty dynamics. While its nonlinear extensions, called nonlinear Hawkes …
intermittent bursty dynamics. While its nonlinear extensions, called nonlinear Hawkes …
Lagrangian Liouville models of multiphase flows with randomly forced inertial particles
D Dominguez-Vazquez… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Eulerian-Lagrangian models of particle-laden (multiphase) flows describe fluid flow and
particle dynamics in the Eulerian and Lagrangian frameworks respectively. Regardless of …
particle dynamics in the Eulerian and Lagrangian frameworks respectively. Regardless of …
Hawkes processes modeling, inference, and control: An overview
R Lima - SIAM Review, 2023 - SIAM
Hawkes processes are a type of point process that models self-excitement among time
events. They have been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and …
events. They have been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and …
[HTML][HTML] The excess volatility puzzle explained by financial noise amplification from endogenous feedbacks
A Wehrli, D Sornette - Scientific reports, 2022 - nature.com
The arguably most important paradox of financial economics—the excess volatility puzzle—
first identified by Robert Shiller in 1981 states that asset prices fluctuate much more than …
first identified by Robert Shiller in 1981 states that asset prices fluctuate much more than …
Transition between metastable equilibria: Applications to binary-choice games
Transitions between metastable equilibria in the low-temperature phase of dynamical Ising
game with activity spillover are studied in the infinite time limit. It is shown that exponential …
game with activity spillover are studied in the infinite time limit. It is shown that exponential …
High-order Lagrangian algorithms for Liouville models of particle-laden flows
D Domínguez-Vázquez… - Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
Eulerian-Lagrangian models describe fluid flow and particle dynamics in the Eulerian and
Lagrangian frameworks, respectively. In chaotic systems the particle dynamics are …
Lagrangian frameworks, respectively. In chaotic systems the particle dynamics are …
Standard form of master equations for general non-Markovian jump processes: The Laplace-space embedding framework and asymptotic solution
K Kanazawa, D Sornette - Physical Review Research, 2024 - APS
We present a standard form of master equations (MEs) for general one-dimensional non-
Markovian (history-dependent) jump processes, complemented by an asymptotic solution …
Markovian (history-dependent) jump processes, complemented by an asymptotic solution …
Fifty years later: new directions in Hawkes processes
J Worrall, R Browning, P Wu… - SORT (Statistics and …, 2022 - eprints.qut.edu.au
The Hawkes process is a self-exciting Poisson point process, characterised by a conditional
intensity function. Since its introduction fifty years ago, it has been the subject of numerous …
intensity function. Since its introduction fifty years ago, it has been the subject of numerous …