A non-ferrous metal price ensemble prediction system based on innovative combined kernel extreme learning machine and chaos theory
H Guo, J Wang, Z Li, H Lu, L Zhang - Resources Policy, 2022 - Elsevier
Non-ferrous metal futures, as a significant component of the financial market, are
complementary and coordinated with other financial elements, which has been a key area of …
complementary and coordinated with other financial elements, which has been a key area of …
“Watch your tone!”: Forecasting mining industry commodity prices with financial report tone
This paper presents robust evidence indicating that the tone of financial reports from the US
mining industry firms can predict certain mining commodity returns. We assess this …
mining industry firms can predict certain mining commodity returns. We assess this …
Cryptocurrency forecasting: More evidence of the Meese-Rogoff puzzle
This paper tests the random walk hypothesis in the cryptocurrency market. Based on the well-
known Meese–Rogoff puzzle, we evaluate whether cryptocurrency returns are predictable or …
known Meese–Rogoff puzzle, we evaluate whether cryptocurrency returns are predictable or …
Forecasting base metal prices with an international stock index
PM Pincheira, N Hardy, C Henriquez… - Available at SSRN …, 2021 - papers.ssrn.com
In this paper we show that the MSCI ACWI Metals and Mining Index has the ability to predict
base metal prices. We use both in-sample and out-of-sample exercises to conduct such …
base metal prices. We use both in-sample and out-of-sample exercises to conduct such …
Forecasting Commodity Market Synchronization with Commodity Currencies: A Network-Based Approach
This paper shows that some commodity currencies (from Chile, Iceland, Norway, South
Africa, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand) predict the synchronization of metals and …
Africa, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand) predict the synchronization of metals and …
The mean squared prediction error paradox
In this paper, we show that traditional comparisons of mean squared prediction error (MSPE)
between two competing forecasts may be highly controversial. This is so because when …
between two competing forecasts may be highly controversial. This is so because when …