Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems: Pitfalls and potential

G Wright, G Cairns, FA O'Brien, P Goodwin - European Journal of …, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper provides a review and evaluation of the use of scenario methods from the
Intuitive Logics (IL) school to address so-called 'wicked problems'. Scenario planning has …

[HTML][HTML] Scenario-driven roadmapping for technology foresight

M Hussain, E Tapinos, L Knight - Technological Forecasting and Social …, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper presents a novel method for using scenarios for technology foresight.
Technology foresight is a well-established discipline, practised with popular foresight …

Blended learning: the new normal for post-Covid-19 pedagogy

N Megahed, E Ghoneim - … Journal of Mobile and Blended Learning …, 2022 - igi-global.com
As we approach a new normal in post-Covid-19 pedagogy, we need to consider blended
learning (BL) as a significant contribution to precautionary and preventive actions for …

How plausibility-based scenario practices are grappling with complexity to appreciate and address 21st century challenges

A Wilkinson, R Kupers, D Mangalagiu - Technological Forecasting and …, 2013 - Elsevier
Scenarios are best described as a highly innovative, pragmatic field of practice grappling
with theoretical grounding. Complexity science, in contrast, is a theoretically grounded …

Behavioural operational research: Returning to the roots of the OR profession

LA Franco, RP Hämäläinen - European Journal of Operational Research, 2016 - Elsevier
We witness and welcome the resurgence of interest in the study of behavioural issues in the
conduct of operational research (OR). The use of the term 'resurgence'is deliberate: the …

Scenario orientation and use to support strategy development

FA O'Brien, M Meadows - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2013 - Elsevier
Scenario planning is one of the tools consistently reported as being used by executives to
support their business development. A scenario planning project typically consists of three …

Benefits and challenges of participatory methods in qualitative energy scenario development

A Ernst, KH Biß, H Shamon, D Schumann… - … Forecasting and Social …, 2018 - Elsevier
Energy scenarios are a tool for exploring possible future developments or states of energy
systems. However, traditional energy scenarios mainly concentrate on technological …

Knowledge creation dynamics in foresight: A knowledge typology and exploratory method to analyse foresight workshops

M Dufva, T Ahlqvist - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2015 - Elsevier
A typical foresight process involves stakeholders exploring the futures and interpreting the
results to present actions. In other words, participants create knowledge about the future …

Scenario methodology: New developments in theory and practice: Introduction to the Special Issue

G Wright, G Cairns, R Bradfield - Technological Forecasting and Social …, 2013 - Elsevier
Scenario methodology: New developments in theory and practice: Introduction to the Special
Issue - ScienceDirect Skip to main contentSkip to article Elsevier logo Journals & Books Search …

Scenario development using web mining for outlining technology futures

V Kayser, E Shala - Technological forecasting and social change, 2020 - Elsevier
Scenario development is an established foresight method. However, scenario processes
require much time and the integration of a balanced set of initial information (reports, expert …