Behavioral and experimental macroeconomics and policy analysis: A complex systems approach
C Hommes - Journal of Economic Literature, 2021 - aeaweb.org
This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics, emphasizing a
complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous …
complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous …
Empirical evidence on inflation expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve
S Mavroeidis, M Plagborg-Møller… - … Economic Journal: Journal …, 2014 - aeaweb.org
We review the main identification strategies and empirical evidence on the role of
expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips curve, paying particular attention to the issue of …
expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips curve, paying particular attention to the issue of …
[图书][B] Behavioral rationality and heterogeneous expectations in complex economic systems
C Hommes - 2013 - books.google.com
Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting
agents, the book presents a theory of behavioral rationality and heterogeneous expectations …
agents, the book presents a theory of behavioral rationality and heterogeneous expectations …
Anchored inflation expectations
We develop a theory of low-frequency movements in inflation expectations, and use it to
interpret joint dynamics of inflation and inflation expectations for the United States and other …
interpret joint dynamics of inflation and inflation expectations for the United States and other …
Taking stock: A rigorous modelling of animal spirits in macroeconomics
R Franke, F Westerhoff - Analytical political economy, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
This paper is a survey of the burgeoning literature that seeks to take the enigmatic concept
of the animal spirits more seriously by building heterodox macro‐dynamic models that can …
of the animal spirits more seriously by building heterodox macro‐dynamic models that can …
Inflation targeting and liquidity traps under endogenous credibility
C Hommes, J Lustenhouwer - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
Policy implications are derived for an inflation-targeting central bank, whose credibility is
endogenous and depends on its past ability to achieve its targets. This is done in a New …
endogenous and depends on its past ability to achieve its targets. This is done in a New …
Estimation of financial agent-based models with simulated maximum likelihood
This paper proposes a general computational framework for empirical estimation of financial
agent-based models, for which criterion functions have unknown analytical form. For this …
agent-based models, for which criterion functions have unknown analytical form. For this …
[HTML][HTML] Structural reforms, animal spirits, and monetary policies
P De Grauwe, Y Ji - European Economic Review, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract We use a New Keynesian behavioral macroeconomic model to analyze how
structural reforms affect the economy. There are two types of structural reforms. The first one …
structural reforms affect the economy. There are two types of structural reforms. The first one …
Simple forecasting heuristics that make us smart: Evidence from different market experiments
M Anufriev, C Hommes… - Journal of the European …, 2019 - academic.oup.com
In this paper we address the question of how individuals form expectations and invent,
reinforce, and update their forecasting rules in a complex world. We do so by fitting a novel …
reinforce, and update their forecasting rules in a complex world. We do so by fitting a novel …
Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments
We study the emergence of bubbles in a laboratory experiment with large groups of
individuals. The realized price is the aggregation of the forecasts of a group of individuals …
individuals. The realized price is the aggregation of the forecasts of a group of individuals …