[图书][B] Financial risk management

P García, FJP García - 2017 - Springer
In recent times, risk analysis and management has become of great importance in the world
of business, but unfortunately, as highlighted by the deep economic crisis we have become …

Modeling energy prices under energy transition: A novel stochastic-copula approach

MC Fernandes, JC Dias, JPV Nunes - Economic Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
Energy producers are challenged to contribute to a lower carbon economy and to enhance
the decarbonization of this sector two sources highlight: electricity (mainly from renewables) …

Filtering and forecasting commodity futures prices under an HMM framework

P Date, R Mamon, A Tenyakov - Energy Economics, 2013 - Elsevier
We propose a model for the evolution of arbitrage-free futures prices under a regime-
switching framework. The estimation of model parameters is carried out using the hidden …

Distributional modeling and forecasting of natural gas prices

J Berrisch, F Ziel - Journal of Forecasting, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We examine the problem of modeling and forecasting European day‐ahead and month‐
ahead natural gas prices. For this, we propose two distinct probabilistic models that can be …

Commodity price dynamics and derivative valuation: A review

J Back, M Prokopczuk - … Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 2013 - World Scientific
This paper reviews extant research on commodity price dynamics and commodity derivative
pricing models. In the first half, we provide an overview of key characteristics of commodity …

Models with short-term variations and long-term dynamics in risk management of commodity derivatives

ZY Guo - 2017 - ideas.repec.org
We adopt Schwartz and Smith's model (2000) to calculate risk measures of Brent oil futures
contracts and light sweet crude oil (WTI) futures contracts and Mirantes, Poblacion and …

Valuing cargo flexibility in oil transportation

R Adland, D Hansson, L Wense - Maritime Policy & Management, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
The seaborne oil transportation market is served by two main types of vessels—crude oil
tankers and product tankers. Product tankers are designed to move refined oil products, yet …

Long-term swings and seasonality in energy markets

M Moreno, A Novales, F Platania - European Journal of Operational …, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper introduces a two-factor continuous-time model for commodity pricing under the
assumption that prices revert to a stochastic mean level, which shows smooth, periodic …

Pricing of commodity and energy derivatives for polynomial processes

FE Benth - Mathematics, 2021 - mdpi.com
Operating in energy and commodity markets require a management of risk using derivative
products such as forward and futures, as well as options on these. Many of the popular …

The stochastic seasonal behavior of freight rate dynamics

J Poblacion - Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2015 - Springer
Previous studies on freight rate dynamics have explored the behavior of freight rates and
their characteristics, including unit root, among other factors. However, there are few articles …