Ten years, 16 fully coupled global models, and hundreds of research papers later, the North
American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) monthly-to-seasonal prediction system is looking …

We describe the baseline coupled model configuration and simulation characteristics of
GFDL's Earth System Model Version 4.1 (ESM4. 1), which builds on component and coupled …

Marine heatwaves (MHWs)—periods of exceptionally warm ocean temperature lasting
weeks to years—are now widely recognized for their capacity to disrupt marine ecosystems …

Three consecutive dry winters (2015–2017) in southwestern South Africa (SSA) resulted in
the Cape Town “Day Zero” drought in early 2018. The contribution of anthropogenic global …

Owing to the limited length of observed tropical cyclone data and the effects of multidecadal
internal variability, it has been a challenge to detect trends in tropical cyclone activity on a …

The low Antarctic sea ice extent following its dramatic decline in late 2016 has persisted
over a multiyear period. However, it remains unclear to what extent this low sea ice extent …

We present the System for High‐resolution prediction on Earth‐to‐Local Domains (SHiELD),
an atmosphere model developed by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) …

Future changes in the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are uncertain, both because
future projections differ between climate models and because the large internal variability of …

Over the past 40 years, anthropogenic aerosols have been substantially decreasing over
Europe and the United States owing to pollution control measures, whereas they have …

Simulations of Atmospheric Rivers, Their Variability, and Response to Global Warming Using
GFDL’s New High-Resolution General Circulation Model in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue …