Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: the promise of biophysical ecology

NJ Briscoe, SD Morris, PD Mathewson… - Global Change …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …

Process-explicit models reveal the structure and dynamics of biodiversity patterns

JA Pilowsky, RK Colwell, C Rahbek, DA Fordham - Science Advances, 2022 - science.org
With ever-growing data availability and computational power at our disposal, we now have
the capacity to use process-explicit models more widely to reveal the ecological and …

Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

D Leclère, M Obersteiner, M Barrett, SHM Butchart… - Nature, 2020 - nature.com
Increased efforts are required to prevent further losses to terrestrial biodiversity and the
ecosystem services that it provides,. Ambitious targets have been proposed, such as …

A standard protocol for reporting species distribution models

D Zurell, J Franklin, C König, PJ Bouchet… - …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) constitute the most common class of models across
ecology, evolution and conservation. The advent of ready‐to‐use software packages and …

A guide to ecosystem models and their environmental applications

WL Geary, M Bode, TS Doherty, EA Fulton… - Nature Ecology & …, 2020 - nature.com
Applied ecology has traditionally approached management problems through a simplified,
single-species lens. Repeated failures of single-species management have led us to a new …

The challenge of novel abiotic conditions for species undergoing climate‐induced range shifts

AR Spence, MW Tingley - Ecography, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Coincident with recent global warming, species have shifted their geographic distributions to
cooler environments, generally by moving along thermal axes to higher latitudes, higher …

Trait-based assessments of climate-change impacts on interacting species

M Schleuning, EL Neuschulz, J Albrecht… - Trends in Ecology & …, 2020 - cell.com
Plant–animal interactions are fundamentally important in ecosystems, but have often been
ignored by studies of climate-change impacts on biodiversity. Here, we present a trait-based …

Species distribution modelling supports the study of past, present and future biogeographies

J Franklin - Journal of Biogeography, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution modelling (SDM), also called environmental or ecological niche
modelling, has developed over the last 30 years as a widely used tool used in core areas of …

Recommendations for quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate projections of species distributions

S Brodie, JA Smith, BA Muhling… - Global change …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Projecting the future distributions of commercially and ecologically important species has
become a critical approach for ecosystem managers to strategically anticipate change, but …

The establishment of plants following long-distance dispersal

ZY Wu, RI Milne, J Liu, R Nathan, RT Corlett… - Trends in Ecology & …, 2023 - cell.com
Long-distance dispersal (LDD) beyond the range of a species is an important driver of
ecological and evolutionary patterns, but insufficient attention has been given to …