Populations of many species are genetically adapted to local historical climate conditions.
Yet most forecasts of species' distributions under climate change have ignored local …

In a rapidly changing world, ecology has the potential to move from empirical and
conceptual stages to application and management issues. It is now possible to make large …

Predictive performance is important to many applications of species distribution models
(SDMs). The SDM 'ensemble'approach, which combines predictions across different …

Aim Spatial modelling techniques are increasingly used in species distribution modelling.
However, the implemented techniques differ in their modelling performance, and some …

Reintroductions are attempts to return species to parts of their historical ranges where they
were extirpated, and might involve release of either captive-bred or wild-caught individuals …

Species distribution modelling has been widely applied in order to assess the potential
impacts of climate change on biodiversity. Many methodological decisions, taken during the …

Predicting the probability of successful establishment and invasion of alien species at global
scale, by matching climatic and land use data, is a priority for the risk assessment. Both large …

Obtaining reliable predictions of species range shifts under climate change is a crucial
challenge for ecologists and stakeholders. At the continental scale, niche‐based models …

The impact of the ongoing rapid climate change on natural systems is a major issue for
human societies. An important challenge for ecologists is to identify the climatic factors that …

Pest risk maps are powerful visual communication tools to describe where invasive alien
species might arrive, establish, spread, or cause harmful impacts. These maps inform …