The causes of and responses to today's inflation

JE Stiglitz, I Regmi - Industrial and Corporate Change, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Over the last couple years, the world has experienced the highest levels of inflation in more
than four decades. This paper provides a framework for analyzing the causes and the …

House prices and rents in the 21st century

L Loewenstein, PS Willen - 2023 - nber.org
We study the joint evolution of prices and rents of residential property. After constructing rent
and price indices for renter-and owner-occupied properties, we decompose the change in …

Forecasting cpi shelter under falling market-rent growth

CD Cotton, J O'Shea - Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Research …, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
Shelter (housing) costs constitute a large component of price indexes, including 42 percent
of the widely followed core Consumer Price Index (CPI). The shelter prices measured in the …

Post‐COVID inflation dynamics: Higher for longer

R Verbrugge, S Zaman - Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We implement a novel nonlinear structural model featuring an empirically successful
frequency‐dependent and asymmetric Phillips curve; unemployment frequency components …

[HTML][HTML] Unit Labor Costs and Inflation in the Non-Housing Service Sector

G Barlevy, H Luojia - Chicago Fed Letter, 2023 - chicagofed.org
Inflation remains high, and it is critical to understand the components of inflation. Inflation in
core goods has declined over much of the past year. Inflation in housing services remains …

[PDF][PDF] Where Is Shelter Inflation Headed?

A Kmetz, S Louie, J Mondragon - FRBSF Economic Letter, 2023 - frbsf.org
Shelter inflation has remained high even as other components of inflation have fallen.
However, various market indicators, including house prices and rents, suggest that the …

A Faster Convergence of Shelter Prices and Market Rent: Implications for Inflation

CD Cotton - Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Research Paper …, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract The Federal Reserve currently faces a “last-mile” problem in bringing inflation back
to its 2 percent target. Following the series of federal funds rate hikes that began in March …

[HTML][HTML] New-Tenant Rent Passthrough and the Future of Rent Inflation

L Loewenstein, J Meyer, RJ Verbrugge - Economic Commentary, 2024 - clevelandfed.org
New-tenant rent inflation rose sharply during the COVID-19 pandemic, subsequently falling.
Concomitantly, consumer price index (CPI) tenant rent, which measures rent increases for …

[PDF][PDF] Sticky Continuing-Tenant Rents

J Gallin, LP Loewenstein, H Montag, RJ Verbrugge - Work in progress, 2024 - bls.gov
Declining mobility means that continuing-tenant rents are increasingly important for CPI
shelter inflation. However, relatively little is known about them. Using the microdata that …

[PDF][PDF] A Tight Labor Market Could Keep Rent Inflation Elevated

B Bundick, AL Smith… - Federal Reserve Bank of …, 2023 - kansascityfed.org
Rent inflation responds more to labor market conditions compared with other components of
inflation. We attribute this link between labor market tightness and rent inflation to greater …