Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

BC O'Neill, TR Carter, K Ebi, PA Harrison… - Nature climate …, 2020 - nature.com
Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global
environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change …

[HTML][HTML] Energy efficiency and economy-wide rebound effects: A review of the evidence and its implications

PE Brockway, S Sorrell, G Semieniuk, MK Heun… - … and sustainable energy …, 2021 - Elsevier
The majority of global energy scenarios anticipate a structural break in the relationship
between energy consumption and gross domestic product (GDP), with several scenarios …

Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios

G Luderer, S Madeddu, L Merfort, F Ueckerdt, M Pehl… - Nature Energy, 2022 - nature.com
Cost degression in photovoltaics, wind-power and battery storage has been faster than
previously anticipated. In the future, climate policy to limit global warming to 1.5–2° C will …

Diverse carbon dioxide removal approaches could reduce impacts on the energy–water–land system

J Fuhrman, C Bergero, M Weber, S Monteith… - Nature Climate …, 2023 - nature.com
Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is a critical tool in all plans to limit warming to below 1.5° C,
but only a few CDR pathways have been incorporated into integrated assessment models …

[HTML][HTML] Climate model projections from the scenario model intercomparison project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

C Tebaldi, K Debeire, V Eyring, E Fischer… - Earth System …, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
Abstract The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) defines and
coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven …

[PDF][PDF] Mitigation pathways compatible with long-term goals

K Riahi, R Schaeffer, J Arango, K Calvin, C Guivarch… - 2022 - cgspace.cgiar.org
Chapter 3 takes a long-term perspective on climate change mitigation pathways. Its focus is
on the implications of long-term targets for the required short-and medium-term system …

[HTML][HTML] Global energy perspectives to 2060–WEC's World Energy Scenarios 2019

T Kober, HW Schiffer, M Densing, E Panos - Energy Strategy Reviews, 2020 - Elsevier
The recent signals in the energy sector indicate a major transformation taking shape in the
energy sector in the decades to come. The potential trends are highlighted in three …

Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands

DJ Beerling, EP Kantzas, MR Lomas, P Wade… - Nature, 2020 - nature.com
Enhanced silicate rock weathering (ERW), deployable with croplands, has potential use for
atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate …

Net-zero emissions energy systems

SJ Davis, NS Lewis, M Shaner, S Aggarwal, D Arent… - Science, 2018 - science.org
BACKGROUND Net emissions of CO2 by human activities—including not only energy
services and industrial production but also land use and agriculture—must approach zero in …

[HTML][HTML] Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the …

MJ Gidden, K Riahi, SJ Smith, S Fujimori… - Geoscientific model …, 2019 - gmd.copernicus.org
We present a suite of nine scenarios of future emissions trajectories of anthropogenic
sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within CMIP6. Integrated …