[HTML][HTML] A decade of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME): Research, application, and future directions
Ten years, 16 fully coupled global models, and hundreds of research papers later, the North
American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) monthly-to-seasonal prediction system is looking …
American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) monthly-to-seasonal prediction system is looking …
Single-and multi-year ENSO events controlled by pantropical climate interactions
To better understand the diverse temporal evolutions of observed El Niño‒Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) events, which are characterized as single-or multi-year, this study …
Oscillation (ENSO) events, which are characterized as single-or multi-year, this study …
ENSO and Pacific decadal variability in the Community Earth System Model version 2
This study presents a description of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific
Decadal Variability (PDV) in a multicentury preindustrial simulation of the Community Earth …
Decadal Variability (PDV) in a multicentury preindustrial simulation of the Community Earth …
Contrasting El Niño–La Niña predictability and prediction skill in 2-year reforecasts of the twentieth century
Despite the growing demand for long-range ENSO predictions beyond 1 year, quantifying
the skill at these lead times remains limited. This is partly due to inadequate long records of …
the skill at these lead times remains limited. This is partly due to inadequate long records of …
El Niño and La Niña asymmetry in short-term predictability on springtime initial condition
Abstract El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) asymmetry in predictability on springtime
initial condition remains unclear. From the perspective of the spring predictability barrier …
initial condition remains unclear. From the perspective of the spring predictability barrier …
A shifting tripolar pattern of Antarctic sea ice concentration anomalies during multi‐year La Niña events
Abstract A 2,200‐year CESM1 pre‐industrial simulation is used to contrast Antarctic sea ice
concentration (SIC) variations between the first and second austral winters of multi‐year La …
concentration (SIC) variations between the first and second austral winters of multi‐year La …
The predictability of ocean environments that contributed to the 2020/21 extreme cold events in China: 2020/21 La Niña and 2020 Arctic sea ice loss
Several consecutive extreme cold events impacted China during the first half of winter
2020/21, breaking the low-temperature records in many cities. How to make accurate …
2020/21, breaking the low-temperature records in many cities. How to make accurate …
Predictability of El Niño duration based on the onset timing
Abstract Analysis of observational data and a long control simulation of the Community Earth
System Model, version 1 (CESM1), shows that El Niño events developing in boreal spring to …
System Model, version 1 (CESM1), shows that El Niño events developing in boreal spring to …
Distinguishing Impacts on Winter Temperatures in Northern Mid-to-High Latitude Continents during Multi-year and Single-year La Niña Events: A Modeling Study
Utilizing a 2200-year CESM1 pre-industrial simulation, this study examines the influence of
property distinctions between single-year (SY) and multi-year (MY) La Niñas on their …
property distinctions between single-year (SY) and multi-year (MY) La Niñas on their …
Excessive momentum and false alarms in late‐spring ENSO forecasts
Abstract The unanticipated stalled El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) evolution of 2014
raises questions about the reliability of the coupled models that were used for forecast …
raises questions about the reliability of the coupled models that were used for forecast …