Impacts, processes and projections of the quasi-biennial oscillation

JA Anstey, SM Osprey, J Alexander… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2022 - nature.com
In the tropical stratosphere, deep layers of eastward and westward winds encircle the globe
and descend regularly from the upper stratosphere to the tropical tropopause. With a …

Long-range prediction and the stratosphere

AA Scaife, MP Baldwin, AH Butler… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - acp.copernicus.org
Over recent years there have been concomitant advances in the development of
stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere …

Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems

ZD Lawrence, M Abalos, B Ayarzagüena… - Weather and Climate …, 2022 - wcd.copernicus.org
The stratosphere can be a source of predictability for surface weather on timescales of
several weeks to months. However, the potential predictive skill gained from stratospheric …

Southern hemisphere response to the quasi-biennial oscillation in the CMIP5/6 models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, R Ren, T Wu, Y Lu - Journal of Climate, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Using 25 quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)-resolving models from phases 5 and 6 of the
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5/6), this study systematically explores the …

[HTML][HTML] Mean state of the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex in three generations of CMIP models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, T Wu, Y Lu, M Chu - Journal of Climate, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Progress and persistent biases in the simulation of the stratospheric polar vortex from three
generations of Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIPs) are assessed. On average …

A QBO cookbook: Sensitivity of the quasi‐biennial oscillation to resolution, resolved waves, and parameterized gravity waves

CI Garfinkel, EP Gerber, O Shamir… - Journal of Advances …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
An intermediate complexity moist general circulation model is used to investigate the
sensitivity of the quasi‐biennial oscillation (QBO) to resolution, diffusion, tropical …

Exploring the ENSO modulation of the QBO periods with GISS E2. 2 models

T Zhou, KJ DallaSanta, C Orbe, DH Rind… - Atmospheric …, 2024 - acp.copernicus.org
Observational studies have shown that the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exerts an
influence on the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO). The downward propagation of the QBO …

A revisit and comparison of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) disruption events in 2015/16 and 2019/20

Y Wang, J Rao, Y Lu, Z Ju, J Yang, J Luo - Atmospheric Research, 2023 - Elsevier
As the most dominant variability of the tropical stratospheric zonal winds on the interannual
timescale, the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) has a significant impact on weather and …

Calibration and uncertainty quantification of a gravity wave parameterization: A case study of the quasi‐biennial oscillation in an intermediate complexity climate …

LA Mansfield, A Sheshadri - Journal of Advances in Modeling …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
The drag due to breaking atmospheric gravity waves plays a leading order role in driving the
middle atmosphere circulation, but as their horizontal wavelength range from tens to …

Role of tropical lower stratosphere winds in quasi-biennial oscillation disruptions

MJ Kang, HY Chun, SW Son, RR Garcia, SI An… - Science …, 2022 - science.org
In 2016, the westerly quasi-biennial oscillation (WQBO) in the equatorial stratosphere was
unprecedentedly disrupted by westward forcing near 40 hPa; this was followed by another …