[PDF][PDF] Faraway, so close: Business cycle effect of long-run ambiguity

S Biadetti, L Carbonari, F Maurici - 2024 - rcea.org
This paper explores forward-looking ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty) in a model with
homogeneous workers and credit-constrained heterogeneous entrepreneurs. Agents are …

Trend, Cycle and Expectation Formation

H Chen, Y Liu - Available at SSRN 4802408, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We characterize how forecasters form expectations when they cannot perfectly distinguish
between trends and cycles. This model is motivated by a set of findings from the Survey of …

[PDF][PDF] Inequality, Myopia, and the Business Cycle

L Carbonari, F Maurici - 2024 - rcea.org
This work examines two economies that are identical except for their interpretation of a
transitory shock in inequality, eventually affecting the aggregate Total Factor Productivity …

[PDF][PDF] LEARNING FROM PRICE WITH KNIGHTIAN UNCERTAINTY

H Yang - 2023 - hal.science
Financial technology innovation is blamed for volatility, illiquidity, and inefficiency (see Ben-
David, Franzoni, and Moussawi (2018), Zhang (2006)). The advancement of information …

Misperceived Law of Motion in Macroeconomic Expectations

Z Qiu - Available at SSRN 4147139, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper proposes a``self-adjoint method''to interpret the surveyed expectations about
macroeconomic indicators. This method provides a set of statistics that can only be …

Learning from Ambiguous Price Signals

H Yang - Available at SSRN 4850488, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Challenging it is for uninformed traders entering the market to accurately assess the extent
to which prices incorporate information from informed traders. We revisit the issue of …

Financial Market Under Knightian Uncertainty About the Informed Trader

H Yang - Available at SSRN 4534045, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper investigates how market participants learn from equilibrium prices under
Knightian uncertainty or ambiguity, following the framework proposed by Vives (2014) …

Financial Market with Learning from Price under Knightian Uncertainty

H Yang - Available at SSRN 4649940, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Following the framework proposed by Vives (2014), we reconsidered the problem of
learning from equilibrium prices under Knightian uncertainty or ambiguity. Specifically, we …

Financial Market with Learning from Price under Knightian Uncertainty

Y Hao - 2023 - hal.science
Following the framework proposed by Vives (2014), we reconsidered the problem of
learning from equilibrium prices under Knightian uncertainty or ambiguity. Specifically, we …