Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial (with comments by M. Clyde, David Draper and EI George, and a rejoinder by the authors
Standard statistical practice ignores model uncertainty. Data analysts typically select a
model from some class of models and then proceed as if the selected model had generated …
model from some class of models and then proceed as if the selected model had generated …
Model averaging and its use in economics
MFJ Steel - Journal of Economic Literature, 2020 - aeaweb.org
The method of model averaging has become an important tool to deal with model
uncertainty, for example in situations where a large amount of different theories exist, as are …
uncertainty, for example in situations where a large amount of different theories exist, as are …
Bayesian model averaging for linear regression models
We consider the problem of accounting for model uncertainty in linear regression models.
Conditioning on a single selected model ignores model uncertainty, and thus leads to the …
Conditioning on a single selected model ignores model uncertainty, and thus leads to the …
Approaches for Bayesian variable selection
EI George, RE McCulloch - Statistica sinica, 1997 - JSTOR
This paper describes and compares various hierarchical mixture prior formulations of
variable selection uncertainty in normal linear regression models. These include the …
variable selection uncertainty in normal linear regression models. These include the …
Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging
In contrast to a posterior analysis given a particular sampling model, posterior model
probabilities in the context of model uncertainty are typically rather sensitive to the …
probabilities in the context of model uncertainty are typically rather sensitive to the …
[图书][B] Bayesian biostatistics
E Lesaffre, AB Lawson - 2012 - books.google.com
The growth of biostatistics has been phenomenal in recent years and has been marked by
considerable technical innovation in both methodology and computational practicality. One …
considerable technical innovation in both methodology and computational practicality. One …
Variable selection for regression models
A simple method for subset selection of independent variables in regression models is
proposed. We expand the usual regression equation to an equation that incorporates all …
proposed. We expand the usual regression equation to an equation that incorporates all …
Prior distributions for objective Bayesian analysis
We provide a review of prior distributions for objective Bayesian analysis. We start by
examining some foundational issues and then organize our exposition into priors for: i) …
examining some foundational issues and then organize our exposition into priors for: i) …
The practical implementation of Bayesian model selection
In principle, the Bayesian approach to model selection is straightforward. Prior probability
distributions are used to describe the uncertainty surrounding all unknowns. After observing …
distributions are used to describe the uncertainty surrounding all unknowns. After observing …
[图书][B] Bayesian statistics for the social sciences
D Kaplan - 2023 - books.google.com
" Since the publication of the first edition, Bayesian statistics is, arguably, still not the norm in
the formal quantitative methods training of social scientists. Typically, the only introduction …
the formal quantitative methods training of social scientists. Typically, the only introduction …