The term structure of returns: Facts and theory

JH Van Binsbergen, RSJ Koijen - Journal of Financial Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
We summarize and extend the new literature on the term structure of equity. Short-term
equity claims, or dividend strips, have higher average returns and Sharpe ratios than the …

Cash flow duration and the term structure of equity returns

M Weber - Journal of Financial Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration
earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross-section. I create …

Innovation, growth, and asset prices

H Kung, L Schmid - The Journal of Finance, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
We examine the asset pricing implications of a production economy whose long‐term
growth prospects are endogenously determined by innovation and R&D. In equilibrium …

High discounts and high unemployment

RE Hall - American Economic Review, 2017 - aeaweb.org
Unemployment is high when financial discounts are high. In recessions, the stock market
falls and all types of investment fall, including employers' investment in job creation. The …

Labor hiring, investment, and stock return predictability in the cross section

F Belo, X Lin, S Bazdresch - Journal of Political Economy, 2014 - journals.uchicago.edu
We study the impact of labor market frictions on asset prices. In the cross section of US firms,
a 10 percentage point increase in the firm's hiring rate is associated with a 1.5 percentage …

Macroeconomic models for monetary policy: A critical review from a finance perspective

WW Dou, AW Lo, A Muley, H Uhlig - Annual Review of Financial …, 2020 - annualreviews.org
We provide a critical review of macroeconomic models used for monetary policy at central
banks from a finance perspective. We review the history of monetary policy modeling, survey …

The cross-section of labor leverage and equity returns

A Donangelo, F Gourio, M Kehrig, M Palacios - Journal of Financial …, 2019 - Elsevier
The relative size and inflexibility of labor expenses lead to a form of operating leverage,
which we call labor leverage. We derive a set of conditions for the existence of labor …

COVID-19 and the cross-section of equity returns: Impact and transmission

L Bretscher, A Hsu, P Simasek… - The Review of Asset …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Using the first reported case of COVID-19 in a given US county as the event day, we find that
firms headquartered in an affected county experience, on average, a 27-bps lower return in …

Long-run productivity risk: A new hope for production-based asset pricing?

MM Croce - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2014 - Elsevier
The examination of the intertemporal distribution of US productivity risk suggests that the
conditional mean of productivity growth is an important determinant of macro quantities and …

Labor-force heterogeneity and asset prices: The importance of skilled labor

F Belo, J Li, X Lin, X Zhao - The Review of Financial Studies, 2017 - academic.oup.com
Previous studies have identified a negative relation between firms' hiring rates and future
stock returns in the cross-section. We document that this relation is significantly steeper in …