Exchange rate predictability

B Rossi - Journal of economic literature, 2013 - aeaweb.org
The main goal of this article is to provide an answer to the question: does anything forecast
exchange rates, and if so, which variables? It is well known that exchange rate fluctuations …

Real exchange rates and purchasing power parity: mean-reversion in economic thought

MP Taylor - Purchasing power parity and real exchange rates, 2013 - api.taylorfrancis.com
Purchasing Power Parity and Real Exchange Rates Page 1 Real exchange rates and
Purchasing Power Parity: mean-reversion in economic thought Mark P. Taylor Department of …

[图书][B] Econometric analysis of panel data

BH Baltagi, BH Baltagi - 2008 - Springer
Panel data econometrics continues to be a hot topic in econometrics and has experienced a
lot of growth over the last two decades. Micro-and Macro-panels are increasing in …

The purchasing power parity debate

AM Taylor, MP Taylor - Journal of economic perspectives, 2002 - aeaweb.org
Originally propounded by the sixteenth-century scholars of the University of Salamanca, the
concept of purchasing power parity (PPP) was revived in the interwar period in the context of …

Testing for a unit root in panels with dynamic factors

HR Moon, B Perron - Journal of econometrics, 2004 - Elsevier
This paper studies testing for a unit root for large n and T panels in which the cross-sectional
units are correlated. To model this cross-sectional correlation, we assume that the data are …

Panel unit root tests under cross‐sectional dependence

J Breitung, S Das - Statistica Neerlandica, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper alternative approaches for testing the unit root hypothesis in panel data are
considered. First, a robust version of the Dickey‐Fuller t‐statistic under contemporaneous …

[图书][B] Global capital markets: integration, crisis, and growth

M Obstfeld, AM Taylor - 2004 - books.google.com
This book presents an economic history of international capital mobility in the modern era. It
blends narrative and quantitative methods and connects economic outcomes to the …

A parametric approach to the estimation of cointegration vectors in panel data

J Breitung - Econometric Reviews, 2005 - Taylor & Francis
In this article, a parametric framework for estimation and inference in cointegrated panel
data models is considered that is based on a cointegrated VAR (p) model. A convenient two …

Why is it so difficult to beat the random walk forecast of exchange rates?

L Kilian, MP Taylor - Journal of International Economics, 2003 - Elsevier
Recent empirical evidence suggests that the time series behavior of the real exchange rate
is well approximated by a nonlinear, exponential smooth transition autoregressive (ESTAR) …

Nonlinear mean‐reversion in real exchange rates: toward a solution to the purchasing power parity puzzles

MP Taylor, DA Peel, L Sarno - International economic review, 2001 - Wiley Online Library
We fit nonlinearly mean‐reverting models to real dollar exchange rates over the post‐
Bretton Woods period, consistent with a theoretical literature on transactions costs in …