Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: the promise of biophysical ecology

NJ Briscoe, SD Morris, PD Mathewson… - Global Change …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …

[HTML][HTML] Advances in microclimate ecology arising from remote sensing

F Zellweger, P De Frenne, J Lenoir, D Rocchini… - Trends in Ecology & …, 2019 - cell.com
Microclimates at the land–air interface affect the physiological functioning of organisms
which, in turn, influences the structure, composition, and functioning of ecosystems. We …

Macroclimate data overestimate range shifts of plants in response to climate change

IMD Maclean, R Early - Nature Climate Change, 2023 - nature.com
Current conservation policy has been shaped by the expectation that, for many species,
places with suitable climate will lie outside their current range, thus leading to predictions of …

Extinction risk from climate change is reduced by microclimatic buffering

AJ Suggitt, RJ Wilson, NJB Isaac, CM Beale… - Nature Climate …, 2018 - nature.com
Protecting biodiversity against the impacts of climate change requires effective conservation
strategies that safeguard species at risk of extinction. Microrefugia allowed populations to …

Vulnerability of global biodiversity hotspots to climate change

BT Trew, IMD Maclean - Global Ecology and Biogeography, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Motivation More than half of Earth's species are contained in a mere 1.4% of its land area,
but the climates of many of these biodiversity hotspots are projected to disappear as a …

Why artificial light at night should be a focus for global change research in the 21st century

TW Davies, T Smyth - Global Change Biology, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
The environmental impacts of artificial light at night have been a rapidly growing field of
global change science in recent years. Yet, light pollution has not achieved parity with other …

Global variation in diurnal asymmetry in temperature, cloud cover, specific humidity and precipitation and its association with leaf area index

DTC Cox, IMD Maclean, AS Gardner… - Global Change …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The impacts of the changing climate on the biological world vary across latitudes, habitats
and spatial scales. By contrast, the time of day at which these changes are occurring has …

Forecasting species range dynamics with process‐explicit models: matching methods to applications

NJ Briscoe, J Elith, R Salguero‐Gómez… - Ecology …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Knowing where species occur is fundamental to many ecological and environmental
applications. Species distribution models (SDMs) are typically based on correlations …

Advances in monitoring and modelling climate at ecologically relevant scales

I Bramer, BJ Anderson, J Bennie, AJ Bladon… - Advances in ecological …, 2018 - Elsevier
Most ecological studies of the effects of climate on species are based on average conditions
above ground level (measured by meteorological stations) averaged across 100 km 2 or …

SoilTemp: A global database of near‐surface temperature

JJ Lembrechts, J Aalto, MB Ashcroft… - Global change …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Current analyses and predictions of spatially explicit patterns and processes in ecology most
often rely on climate data interpolated from standardized weather stations. This interpolated …