Global equity market volatilities forecasting: a comparison of leverage effects, jumps, and overnight information

C Liang, Y Li, F Ma, Y Wei - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2021 - Elsevier
This study extends the HAR-RV model to detailedly compare the role of leverage effects,
jumps, and overnight information in predicting the realized volatilities (RV) of 21 …

Co-volatility and asymmetric transmission of risks between the global oil and China's futures markets

J Luo, HA Marfatia, Q Ji, T Klein - Energy Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
We construct a multivariate heterogeneous autoregressive model specified with common
stochastic volatility and the student-t distribution, the MHAR-CSV-t model, to investigate co …

Discovering the drivers of stock market volatility in a data-rich world

D Chun, H Cho, D Ryu - … of International Financial Markets, Institutions and …, 2023 - Elsevier
This study comprehensively examines the economic and financial drivers of volatility
changes in terms of a cross-country perspective. We review a wide range of studies related …

The asymmetric high-frequency volatility transmission across international stock markets

J Luo, S Wang - Finance Research Letters, 2019 - Elsevier
We construct a MHAR-DCC model to investigate the high-frequency volatility transmission
across international stock markets. We use the overnight volatility estimator to eliminate the …

Forecasting the realized range-based volatility using dynamic model averaging approach

J Liu, Y Wei, F Ma, MIM Wahab - Economic modelling, 2017 - Elsevier
In this study, we forecast the realized range-based volatility (RRV) using the heterogeneous
autoregressive realized range-based volatility (HAR-RRV) model and its various extensions …

Forecasting realized volatility: A review

DW Shin - Journal of the Korean Statistical Society, 2018 - Elsevier
Forecast methods for realized volatilities are reviewed. Basic theoretical and empirical
features of realized volatilities as well as versions of estimators of realized volatility are …

Trading and non-trading period realized market volatility: Does it matter for forecasting the volatility of US stocks?

Š Lyócsa, N Todorova - International Journal of Forecasting, 2020 - Elsevier
We study the potential merits of using trading and non-trading period market volatilities to
model and forecast the stock volatility over the next one to 22 days. We demonstrate the role …

Intraday and overnight tail risks and return predictability in the crude oil market: Evidence from oil-related regular news and extreme shocks

C Wang, E Bouri, Y Xu, D Zhang - Energy Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
This study examines the possible impacts of various market shocks, covering oil-related
regular news releases and extreme shocks on the intraday and overnight variations in tail …

Overnight information flow and realized volatility forecasting

N Todorova, M Souček - Finance Research Letters, 2014 - Elsevier
This study compares various approaches for incorporating the overnight information flow for
forecasting realized volatility of the Australian index ASX 200 and seven very liquid …

Forecasting the Chinese stock volatility across global stock markets

J Liu, F Ma, Y Zhang - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 2019 - Elsevier
In view of the growing concern of Chinese stock fluctuation, this paper forecasts the Chinese
stock volatility by extracting global stock information by combining forecasts of time-varying …