[HTML][HTML] Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability

PI Palmer, CM Wainwright, B Dong… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Eastern Africa exhibits bimodal rainfall consisting of long rains (March–May) and short rains
(October–December), changes in which have profound socioeconomic and environmental …

Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019–January 2020 and context under future climate change

CM Wainwright, DL Finney, M Kilavi, E Black… - …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Figure 2. Timeseries of Dipole Mode Index (a, b) and SST anomaly (c), air temperature
anomaly (d), precipitation anomaly (e) and 850hPa wind anomaly (f) for OND 2019. In (f) the …

[HTML][HTML] Drivers and subseasonal predictability of heavy rainfall in equatorial East Africa and relationship with flood risk

DA MacLeod, R Dankers, R Graham… - Journal of …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract Equatorial East Africa (EEA) suffers from significant flood risks. These can be
mitigated with preemptive action; however, currently available early warnings are limited to a …

Frequent but predictable droughts in East Africa driven by a Walker circulation intensification

C Funk, AH Fink, L Harrison, Z Segele… - Earth's …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
During and after recent La Niña events, the decline of the eastern East African (EA) March‐
April‐May (MAM) rains has set the stage for life‐threatening sequential October‐November …

African low‐level jets and their importance for water vapor transport and rainfall

C Munday, R Washington, N Hart - Geophysical Research …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Uncertainty in the future evolution of tropical rainfall is linked to circulation changes under
warming. In Africa, a key barrier to interpreting rainfall changes is our limited understanding …

[HTML][HTML] Effects of explicit convection on future projections of mesoscale circulations, rainfall, and rainfall extremes over Eastern Africa

DL Finney, JH Marsham, DP Rowell… - Journal of …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Effects of Explicit Convection on Future Projections of Mesoscale Circulations, Rainfall, and
Rainfall Extremes over Eastern Africa in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue 7 (2020) Jump …

A convection-permitting model for the Lake Victoria Basin: evaluation and insight into the mesoscale versus synoptic atmospheric dynamics

J Van de Walle, W Thiery, O Brousse, N Souverijns… - Climate Dynamics, 2020 - Springer
Aiming for an improved understanding of the different factors that determine the regional
climate of the Lake Victoria Basin, the COSMO-CLM regional climate model is set up in a …

[HTML][HTML] Assessment of global reanalysis precipitation for hydrological modelling in data-scarce regions: A case study of Kenya

MA Wanzala, A Ficchi, HL Cloke, EM Stephens… - Journal of Hydrology …, 2022 - Elsevier
Study region 19 flood prone catchments in Kenya, Eastern Africa Study focus Flooding is a
major natural hazard especially in developing countries, and the need for timely, reliable …

[HTML][HTML] Meteorological causes of the catastrophic rains of October/November 2019 in equatorial Africa

SE Nicholson, AH Fink, C Funk, DA Klotter… - Global and Planetary …, 2022 - Elsevier
The rains of October and November 2019 brought disaster to much of equatorial Africa. In
East Africa tremendous rains triggered flooding and landslides in Kenya, causing over 100 …

Causal pathways linking different flavours of ENSO with the Greater Horn of Africa short rains

D MacLeod, R Graham, C O'Reilly… - Atmospheric Science …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
There is a strong association between canonical El Niño and a wet Greater Horn of Africa
(GHA) short rains. However, the link with Modoki El Niño events appears to be significantly …