Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

The use of Bayesian methods for the analysis of data has grown substantially in areas as
diverse as applied statistics, psychology, economics and medical science. Bayesian …

Zelig 1 is an easy-to-use program that can estimate and help interpret the results of an
enormous and growing range of statistical models. It literally is “everyone's statistical …

A fundamental problem in many disciplines, including political science, sociology and
epidemiology, is the examination of the association between two binary variables across a …

The enormous Nazi voting literature rarely builds on modern statistical or economic
research. By adding these approaches, we find that the most widely accepted existing …

Why do pogroms occur in some localities and not in others? Jeffrey S. Kopstein and Jason
Wittenberg examine a particularly brutal wave of violence that occurred across hundreds of …

The demand for mental health services has been growing stronger over the last couple of
decades. This indicates the need to study and assess the access to these mental health …

How did the first female voters cast their ballots? For almost 100 years, answers to this
question have eluded scholars. Counting Women's Ballots employs new data and novel …

Numerous studies show that the rate at which African-Americans cast ballots with missing or
invalid votes, ie, the African-American residual vote rate, is higher than the corresponding …

Ecological inference is a statistical technique used to infer individual behavior from
aggregate data. A particularly relevant instance of ecological inference involves the …