Modeling human behavior in economics and social science

M Dolfin, L Leonida, N Outada - Physics of life reviews, 2017 - Elsevier
The complex interactions between human behaviors and social economic sciences is
critically analyzed in this paper in view of possible applications of mathematical modeling as …

Predicting bankruptcy of local government: A machine learning approach

N Antulov-Fantulin, R Lagravinese, G Resce - Journal of Economic …, 2021 - Elsevier
In this paper we analyze the predictability of the bankruptcy of 7795 Italian municipalities in
the period 2009–2016. The prediction task is extremely hard due to the small number of …

Early warning to banking crises in the dual financial system in Indonesia: The markov switching approach

I Nurfalah, AS Rusydiana, N Laila… - Journal of King …, 2018 - repository.unair.ac.id
This research aims at detecting early indicators that cause conventional banking and Islamic
banking crises, identifying the longest crisis period for both types of banks, and comparing …

Predicting systemic financial crises with recurrent neural networks

E Tölö - Journal of Financial Stability, 2020 - Elsevier
We consider predicting systemic financial crises one to five years ahead using recurrent
neural networks. We evaluate the prediction performance with the Jórda-Schularick-Taylor …

A machine learning-based early warning system for systemic banking crises

T Wang, S Zhao, G Zhu, H Zheng - Applied economics, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Econometricians construct panel logit-based early warning systems (EWSs) as the primary
predictive tool to prevent incoming systemic banking crises. Considering the actual scenario …

Concentration-stability vs concentration-fragility. New cross-country evidence

P Calice, L Leonida, E Muzzupappa - Journal of International Financial …, 2021 - Elsevier
Does concentration in the banking sector boost banks' resilience, or make them more
fragile? We propose an analysis of the simultaneous impact of several mediators of …

Predicting stock market crisis via market indicators and mixed frequency investor sentiments

S Lu, C Liu, Z Chen - Expert Systems with Applications, 2021 - Elsevier
At present, integrating investor sentiment into the prediction of stock market crisis has
attracted more and more attention. However, the existing researches only considered the …

An early warning system for predicting systemic banking crises in the Eurozone: A logit regression approach

C Filippopoulou, E Galariotis, S Spyrou - Journal of Economic Behavior & …, 2020 - Elsevier
Eurosystem macroprudential policies require shared action between national authorities
and the European Central Bank (ECB). This has created the need for a common basis for …

Determinants of financial crises—An early warning system based on panel logit regression

M Jemović, S Marinković - International Journal of Finance & …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Despite the fact that different types of financial crises are rooted in similar weaknesses of
economy or may have common determinants, the very transmission mechanism may …

International house price cycles, monetary policy and credit

GH Bauer - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2017 - Elsevier
We evaluate three alternative predictors of house price corrections: anticipated tightenings
of monetary policy, deviations of house prices from fundamentals, and rapid credit growth. A …