Recent commentary has sounded the alarm about the effects of emerging technologies on
strategic stability, yet the topic has received relatively little systematic scholarly attention. Will …

Acts of prosociality, such as donating to charity, are often analysed in a similar way to acts of
conspicuous advertising; both involve costly signals revealing hidden qualities that increase …

How robust is public support for extended nuclear deterrence in patron and client states?
Recent studies have improved scholarly understanding of US public opinion about nuclear …

How do great powers decide whether to provide arms to or form alliances with client states?
This “patron's dilemma” revolves around a decision about how to best provide security to …

Can states credibly communicate their intentions through covert policy tools, despite the
absence of credibility-enhancing publicity? Most extant research suggests covert action and …

Do costly signals work? Despite their widespread popularity, both hands-tying and sunk-cost
signaling have come under criticism, and there's little direct evidence that leaders …

Do nuclear weapons offer coercive advantages in international crisis bargaining? Almost
seventy years into the nuclear age, we still lack a complete answer to this question. While …

The capacity to build nuclear weapons—known as “nuclear latency”—is widely believed to
be important in world politics. Yet scholarly research on this topic remains limited. This paper …

Two mechanisms of costly signaling are known in international relations: sinking costs and
tying hands. I show that there exist four mechanisms of costly signaling that are equally …

We introduce a Bayesian approach to conduct inferential analyses on dyadic data while
accounting for interdependencies between observations through a set of additive and …