Does the US economic policy uncertainty connect financial markets? Evidence from oil and commodity currencies

CT Albulescu, R Demirer, ID Raheem, AK Tiwari - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
We provide novel insight to the emerging literature on the role of US monetary policy as a
driver of a global financial cycle by examining the possible causal effect of US economic …

Analyzing the (a) symmetric impacts of oil price, economic policy uncertainty, and global geopolitical risk on exchange rate

KM Kisswani, MI Elian - The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 2021 - Elsevier
Recently, the association between oil price and exchange rate has attracted a new track in
which empirical studies examine the probability of asymmetric respond of exchange rate to …

Forecasting the exchange rate with multiple linear regression and heavy ordered weighted average operators

M Flores-Sosa, E León-Castro, JM Merigó… - Knowledge-Based …, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper introduces the multiple linear regression heavy ordered weighted average (MLR-
HOWA) operator. On the MLR-HOWA operator, the beta values are obtained with the use of …

Fiscal policy and uncertainty

S Jerow, J Wolff - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2022 - Elsevier
We investigate the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on the stimulative effect of
government spending. Using historical macroeconomic time series, we show that …

Global uncertainty shocks and exchange-rate expectations in Latin America

J Ojeda-Joya, JV Romero - Economic Modelling, 2023 - Elsevier
Do professional exchange-rate forecasters change their projections upon global economic
policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks? Significant effects have been identified for major …

Economic policy uncertainty and allocative distortions

O Guedhami, S Mansi, D Reeb, Y Yasuda - Journal of Financial Stability, 2021 - Elsevier
We introduce this special issue on Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) with a focus on how
EPU affects allocative efficiency. We observe that EPU affects the market value of firms in …

Exchange rate expectations since the financial crisis: Performance evaluation and the role of monetary policy and safe haven

J Beckmann, R Czudaj - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2017 - Elsevier
We analyze and evaluate novel data on exchange rate expectations after the collapse of
Lehman Brothers for more than 60 economies over different horizons. At a first stage, we …

Assessing the impacts of economic policy uncertainty of the US on the exchange rates and stock returns of Korea, Mexico, Poland and Russia

O Ozcelebi, MT Izgi - Eastern European Economics, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
This study examines the effects of the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index of the US on
the exchange rates and stock returns of Korea, Mexico, Poland, and Russia. A time-varying …

Uncertainty and currency performance: A quantile-on-quantile approach

L Han, Y Liu, L Yin - The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2019 - Elsevier
We utilize a quantile-on-quantile (QQ) approach to uncover the complex and unstable
relationships between uncertainty and the currency performance of developed and …

Does Central bank transparency deter the exchange rate volatility? New evidence from Asian emerging markets

M Aftab, A Mehmood - Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, 2023 - sciendo.com
Exchange rate volatility has emerged as a significant challenge for Asian emerging markets
since the adoption of the liberalization process. This study examines the influence of central …