[HTML][HTML] Evaluation of tieback developments for marginal oil fields with timing flexibility

S Fedorov, V Hagspiel, RWH Rogstad, S Haseldonckx… - Energy Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
The average size of new oil discoveries on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS) is
steadily decreasing. As standalone developments are often not economically viable for …

Valuing real options in the volatile real world

S Harikae, JS Dyer, T Wang - Production and Operations …, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
Motivated by the real‐world challenges of real options evaluation faced by many companies
when commodity prices exhibit dramatic volatility and project values can become negative …

Long-term forecasts for energy commodities price: What the experts think

F Zhou, L Page, RK Perrons, Z Zheng, S Washington - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
The ability to forecast energy prices in the long-term is important for a wide range of reasons,
from the formulation of countries' energy and transportation policies to the defensive …

Permanent and temporary policy incentives for conservation under stochastic returns from competing land uses

P Shah, AW Ando - American Journal of Agricultural …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Rapid conversion of private land for agricultural and urban use has raised concern
worldwide over the loss of ecological services. To inform conservation policy, we model …

The prediction of oil price turning points with log-periodic power law and multi-population genetic algorithm

F Cheng, T Fan, D Fan, S Li - Energy Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
The turning points in international oil price are the most significant and sudden corrections in
prices in the world market. Accurate prediction of turning points can help governments and …

[HTML][HTML] Three-factor commodity forward curve model and its joint P and Q dynamics

S Ladokhin, S Borovkova - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
In this paper, we propose a new framework for modeling commodity forward curves. The
proposed model describes the dynamics of fundamental driving factors simultaneously …

[HTML][HTML] How valuable is the option to defer Uganda's crude oil production?

ML Abigaba, J Bengtsson, KE Rosendahl - Scientific African, 2021 - Elsevier
Our study contributes to the limited literature on real options valuation of Africa's oil
investments. We establish binomial lattices to assess the value of the option to defer crude …

A real options approach to the gas blowdown decision

P Thomas, RB Bratvold - SPE Annual Technical Conference and …, 2015 - onepetro.org
Many oil fields have gas caps or associated gas. The common approach for these fields is to
continue to produce oil, whilst re-injecting any gas produced, for as long as it is profitable …

[HTML][HTML] Environmental and economic multi-objective real options analysis: Electrification choices for field development investment planning

O Noshchenko, V Hagspiel - Energy, 2024 - Elsevier
Hydrocarbons combustion is one of the primary sources of greenhouse gas emissions,
causing climate change. As large volumes of gas are burned to power the energy …

What is needed to phase out residential oil heating in Finnish single-family houses?

A Hast, T Ekholm, S Syri - Sustainable cities and society, 2016 - Elsevier
Abstract There are approximately 200,000 single-family houses heated with oil in Finland
and the substitution of oil heating embodies significant carbon dioxide emission reduction …