[HTML][HTML] Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system
Global warming, extreme climate events, earthquakes and their accompanying
socioeconomic disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear …
socioeconomic disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear …
Agent-based model calibration using machine learning surrogates
Efficiently calibrating agent-based models (ABMs) to real data is an open challenge. This
paper explicitly tackles parameter space exploration and calibration of ABMs by combining …
paper explicitly tackles parameter space exploration and calibration of ABMs by combining …
Macroeconomic policy in DSGE and agent-based models redux: New developments and challenges ahead
G Fagiolo, A Roventini - Available at SSRN 2763735, 2016 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract The Great Recession seems to be a natural experiment for economic analysis, in
that it has shown the inadequacy of the predominant theoretical framework-the New …
that it has shown the inadequacy of the predominant theoretical framework-the New …
Climate change: Macroeconomic impact and implications for monetary policy
Climate change and policies to mitigate it could affect a central bank's ability to meet its
monetary stability objective. Climate change can affect the macroeconomy both through …
monetary stability objective. Climate change can affect the macroeconomy both through …
An interdisciplinary model for macroeconomics
AG Haldane, AE Turrell - Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2018 - academic.oup.com
Macroeconomic modelling has been under intense scrutiny since the Great Financial Crisis,
when serious shortcomings were exposed in the methodology used to understand the …
when serious shortcomings were exposed in the methodology used to understand the …
Tipping positive change
TM Lenton - … Transactions of the Royal Society B, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Tipping points exist in social, ecological and climate systems and those systems are
increasingly causally intertwined in the Anthropocene. Climate change and biosphere …
increasingly causally intertwined in the Anthropocene. Climate change and biosphere …
[HTML][HTML] Positive tipping points in a rapidly warming world
Highlights•We review relevance and meaning of positive tipping points (PTPs) to assess the
required transformations for achieving the 2–1.5 C target.•A procedural synthesis is …
required transformations for achieving the 2–1.5 C target.•A procedural synthesis is …
Rethinking pattern formation in reaction–diffusion systems
The present theoretical framework for the analysis of pattern formation in complex systems is
mostly limited to the vicinity of fixed (global) equilibria. Here we present a new theoretical …
mostly limited to the vicinity of fixed (global) equilibria. Here we present a new theoretical …
Predicting tipping points in mutualistic networks through dimension reduction
Complex networked systems ranging from ecosystems and the climate to economic, social,
and infrastructure systems can exhibit a tipping point (a “point of no return”) at which a total …
and infrastructure systems can exhibit a tipping point (a “point of no return”) at which a total …