Uncertainty before and during COVID‐19: A survey

E Castelnuovo - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This survey features three parts. The first one reviews the most recent literature on the
relationship between domestic (ie, country‐specific) uncertainty and the business cycle, and …

Macroeconomic and uncertainty shocks' effects on energy prices: a comprehensive literature review

I Dokas, G Oikonomou, M Panagiotidis, E Spyromitros - Energies, 2023 - mdpi.com
GDP, monetary variables, corruption, and uncertainty are crucial to energy policy decisions
in today's interrelated world. The global energy crisis, aggravated by rising energy prices …

[HTML][HTML] Global economic uncertainty and suicide: Worldwide evidence

O Claveria - Social Science & Medicine, 2022 - Elsevier
Economic uncertainty is a driver of the business cycle. Its leading properties make it a key
advanced indicator to assess the impact of socioeconomic factors on suicide for prevention …

Economic policy uncertainty spillovers in booms and busts

G Caggiano, E Castelnuovo… - Oxford Bulletin of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of US economic policy uncertainty
shocks on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in …

Uncertainty and economic activity: A multicountry perspective

A Cesa-Bianchi, MH Pesaran… - The Review of Financial …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
We develop an asset pricing model with heterogeneous exposure to a persistent world
growth factor to identify global growth and financial shocks in a multicountry panel VAR in …

Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets

EC Cagli, PE Mandaci - Emerging Markets Review, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper examines the connectedness of uncertainty in cryptocurrency, stock, currency,
and commodity markets. We use the novel news-based cryptocurrency uncertainty indices of …

Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty

R Gupta, J Ma, M Risse, ME Wohar - Journal of Macroeconomics, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper analyses the role of a news-based measure of economic policy uncertainty
(EPU) in explaining time-varying co-movements in economic activity and volatility of 48 US …

Stress testing at the International Monetary Fund

T Adrian, J Morsink, L Schumacher - Departmental Paper, 2020 - cambridge.org
International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff members use macroprudential stress tests to assess
systemic risk as part of the IMF's mandate to monitor global financial stability. Stress tests …

What uncertainty does to euro area sovereign bond markets: Flight to safety and flight to quality

M Costantini, RM Sousa - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022 - Elsevier
We use a panel of 10 euro area countries over the period 1996Q1-2017Q4 to show that
heightened uncertainty leads to (i) a flight to “safety” and (ii) a flight to “quality” in sovereign …

Uncertainty and monetary policy in good and bad times

G Caggiano, E Castelnuovo, G Nodari - 2017 - papers.ssrn.com
We investigate the role played by systematic monetary policy in tackling the real effects of
uncertainty shocks in US recessions and expansions. We model key indicators of the …