An overview of forecast analysis with ARIMA models during the COVID-19 pandemic: Methodology and case study in Brazil
This comprehensive overview focuses on the issues presented by the pandemic due to
COVID-19, understanding its spread and the wide-ranging effects of government-imposed …
COVID-19, understanding its spread and the wide-ranging effects of government-imposed …
Using simulation modelling and systems science to help contain COVID‐19: A systematic review
This study systematically reviews applications of three simulation approaches, that is,
system dynamics model (SDM), agent‐based model (ABM) and discrete event simulation …
system dynamics model (SDM), agent‐based model (ABM) and discrete event simulation …
[HTML][HTML] Optimal control design incorporating vaccination and treatment on six compartment pandemic dynamical system
In this paper, a mathematical model of the COVID-19 pandemic with lockdown that provides
a more accurate representation of the infection rate has been analyzed. In this model, the …
a more accurate representation of the infection rate has been analyzed. In this model, the …
Optimal quarantine strategies for the COVID-19 pandemic in a population with a discrete age structure
JAM Gondim, L Machado - Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2020 - Elsevier
The goal of this work is to study the optimal controls for the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil. We
consider an age-structured SEIRQ model with quarantine compartment, where the controls …
consider an age-structured SEIRQ model with quarantine compartment, where the controls …
Covid-19 dynamic monitoring and real-time spatio-temporal forecasting
CC da Silva, CL de Lima, ACG da Silva… - Frontiers in public …, 2021 - frontiersin.org
Background: Periodically, humanity is often faced with new and emerging viruses that can
be a significant global threat. It has already been over a century post—the Spanish Flu …
be a significant global threat. It has already been over a century post—the Spanish Flu …
Fractional optimal control problem for an age-structured model of COVID-19 transmission
B Khajji, A Kouidere, M Elhia, O Balatif… - Chaos, Solitons & …, 2021 - Elsevier
The aim of this study is to model the transmission of COVID-19 and investigate the impact of
some control strategies on its spread. We propose an extension of the classical SEIR model …
some control strategies on its spread. We propose an extension of the classical SEIR model …
Global stability and sensitivity analysis of parameters of Omicron variant epidemic in diverse susceptible classes incorporating vaccination stages
In this study, a mathematical Omicron model has been studied in view of the densities of a
susceptible population without a vaccine, with the first dose of vaccine, with the second dose …
susceptible population without a vaccine, with the first dose of vaccine, with the second dose …
Network structure-based interventions on spatial spread of epidemics in metapopulation networks
Mathematical modeling of epidemics is fundamental to understand the mechanism of the
disease outbreak and provides helpful indications for effectiveness of interventions for policy …
disease outbreak and provides helpful indications for effectiveness of interventions for policy …
Intervention strategies for epidemic spreading on bipartite metapopulation networks
Intervention strategies are of great significance for controlling large-scale outbreaks of
epidemics. Since the spread of epidemic depends largely on the movement of individuals …
epidemics. Since the spread of epidemic depends largely on the movement of individuals …
[HTML][HTML] Preventive control strategy on second wave of Covid-19 pandemic model incorporating lock-down effect
This study presents an optimal control strategy through a mathematical model of the Covid-
19 outbreak without lock-down. The pandemic model analyses the lock-down effect without …
19 outbreak without lock-down. The pandemic model analyses the lock-down effect without …