Derandomized novelty detection with FDR control via conformal e-values

M Bashari, A Epstein, Y Romano… - Advances in Neural …, 2024 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Conformal inference provides a general distribution-free method to rigorously calibrate the
output of any machine learning algorithm for novelty detection. While this approach has …

Conformal inference is (almost) free for neural networks trained with early stopping

Z Liang, Y Zhou, M Sesia - International Conference on …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Early stopping based on hold-out data is a popular regularization technique designed to
mitigate overfitting and increase the predictive accuracy of neural networks. Models trained …

Confidence on the focal: Conformal prediction with selection-conditional coverage

Y Jin, Z Ren - arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.03868, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals which cover the unknown
outcome of a randomly drawn new test point with a prescribed probability. In practice, a …

Model-free selective inference under covariate shift via weighted conformal p-values

Y Jin, EJ Candès - arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.09291, 2023 - arxiv.org
This paper introduces weighted conformal p-values for model-free selective inference.
Assume we observe units with covariates $ X $ and missing responses $ Y $, the goal is to …

A scale-free approach for false discovery rate control in generalized linear models

C Dai, B Lin, X Xing, JS Liu - Journal of the American Statistical …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
ABSTRACT The Generalized Linear Model (GLM) has been widely used in practice to
model counts or other types of non-Gaussian data. This article introduces a framework for …

Conformal link prediction to control the error rate

A Marandon - arXiv preprint arXiv:2306.14693, 2023 - arxiv.org
Most link prediction methods return estimates of the connection probability of missing edges
in a graph. Such output can be used to rank the missing edges, from most to least likely to be …

Spatiotemporal Assessment and Correction of Gridded Precipitation Products in North Western Morocco

L Ait Dhmane, J Moustadraf, M Rachdane, ME Saidi… - Atmosphere, 2023 - mdpi.com
Accurate and spatially distributed precipitation data are fundamental to effective water
resource management. In Morocco, as in other arid and semi-arid regions, precipitation …

Conformalized Adaptive Forecasting of Heterogeneous Trajectories

Y Zhou, L Lindemann, M Sesia - arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.09623, 2024 - arxiv.org
This paper presents a new conformal method for generating simultaneous forecasting bands
guaranteed to cover the entire path of a new random trajectory with sufficiently high …

[HTML][HTML] DeepFDR: A Deep Learning-based False Discovery Rate Control Method for Neuroimaging Data

T Kim, H Shu, Q Jia, MJ de Leon… - … of machine learning …, 2024 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Voxel-based multiple testing is widely used in neuroimaging data analysis. Traditional false
discovery rate (FDR) control methods often ignore the spatial dependence among the voxel …

Simultaneous hypothesis testing using internal negative controls with an application to proteomics

Z Gao, Q Zhao - arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.01552, 2023 - arxiv.org
Negative control is a common technique in scientific investigations and broadly refers to the
situation where a null effect (''negative result'') is expected. Motivated by a real proteomic …