Machine learning advances for time series forecasting
RP Masini, MC Medeiros… - Journal of economic …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning (ML) and
high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear …
high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear …
A multiple regime smooth transition heterogeneous autoregressive model for long memory and asymmetries
M McAleer, MC Medeiros - Journal of Econometrics, 2008 - Elsevier
In this paper we propose a flexible model to describe nonlinearities and long-range
dependence in time series dynamics. The new model is a multiple regime smooth transition …
dependence in time series dynamics. The new model is a multiple regime smooth transition …
Quarterly time-series forecasting with neural networks
Forecasting of time series that have seasonal and other variations remains an important
problem for forecasters. This paper presents a neural network (NN) approach to forecasting …
problem for forecasters. This paper presents a neural network (NN) approach to forecasting …
Smooth transition patterns in the realized stock–bond correlation
N Aslanidis, C Christiansen - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2012 - Elsevier
This paper explores the time variation in the stock–bond correlation using high-frequency
data. Gradual transitions between regimes of negative and positive stock–bond correlation …
data. Gradual transitions between regimes of negative and positive stock–bond correlation …
Basis function matrix-based flexible coefficient autoregressive models: A framework for time series and nonlinear system modeling
We propose, in this paper, a framework for time series and nonlinear system modeling,
called the basis function matrix-based flexible coefficient autoregressive (BFM-FCAR) …
called the basis function matrix-based flexible coefficient autoregressive (BFM-FCAR) …
Gradient radial basis function based varying-coefficient autoregressive model for nonlinear and nonstationary time series
We propose a gradient radial basis function based varying-coefficient autoregressive (GRBF-
AR) model for modeling and predicting time series that exhibit nonlinearity and …
AR) model for modeling and predicting time series that exhibit nonlinearity and …
Changes in predictive ability with mixed frequency data
AB Galvão - International Journal of Forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
When assessing the predictive power of financial variables for economic activity,
researchers usually aggregate higher-frequency data before estimating a forecasting model …
researchers usually aggregate higher-frequency data before estimating a forecasting model …
An alternative approach to estimating demand: Neural network regression with conditional volatility for high frequency air passenger arrivals
In this paper we provide an alternative approach to analyze the demand for international
tourism in the Balearic Islands, Spain, by using a neural network model that incorporates …
tourism in the Balearic Islands, Spain, by using a neural network model that incorporates …
Modeling multiple regimes in financial volatility with a flexible coefficient GARCH (1, 1) model
MC Medeiros, A Veiga - Econometric Theory, 2009 - cambridge.org
In this paper a flexible multiple regime GARCH (1, 1)-type model is developed to describe
the sign and size asymmetries and intermittent dynamics in financial volatility. The results of …
the sign and size asymmetries and intermittent dynamics in financial volatility. The results of …
Heterogeneity in stock prices: A STAR model with multivariate transition function
M Lof - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2012 - Elsevier
This paper applies a heterogeneous agent asset pricing model, featuring fundamentalists
and chartists, to the price-dividend and price-earnings ratios of the S&P500 index. Agents …
and chartists, to the price-dividend and price-earnings ratios of the S&P500 index. Agents …