A perturbational approach for approximating heterogeneous agent models

A Bhandari, T Bourany, D Evans, M Golosov - 2023 - nber.org
We develop a perturbational technique to approximate equilibria of a wide class of discrete-
time dynamic stochastic general equilibrium heterogeneous-agent models with complex …

Enhanced bayesian neural networks for macroeconomics and finance

N Hauzenberger, F Huber, K Klieber… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2022 - arxiv.org
We develop Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) that permit to model generic nonlinearities
and time variation for (possibly large sets of) macroeconomic and financial variables. From a …

How Inductive Bias in Machine Learning Aligns with Optimality in Economic Dynamics

ME Kahou, J Yu, J Perla, G Pleiss - arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.01898, 2024 - arxiv.org
This paper examines the alignment of inductive biases in machine learning (ML) with
structural models of economic dynamics. Unlike dynamical systems found in physical and …

An Ensemble MCMC Sampler for Robust Bayesian Inference

G Boehl - Available at SSRN 4250395, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper proposes a Differential-Independence Mixture Ensemble (DIME) sampler for the
Bayesian estimation of structural models. DIME allows the estimation of models that are …

[PDF][PDF] MacroModelling. jl: A Julia package for developing and solving dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models

T Kockerols - Journal of Open Source Software, 2023 - joss.theoj.org
MacroModelling. jl is a Julia (Bezanson et al., 2017) package for developing and solving
dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. These kinds of models describe the …

[PDF][PDF] Spooky Boundaries at a Distance: Exploring Transversality and Stability with Deep Learning

ME Kahou, J Fernández-Villaverde… - 2022 - sebastian-gomezcardona.com
In the long run, we are all dead. Nonetheless, even when investigating short-run dynamics,
models require boundary conditions on long-run, forward-looking behavior (eg …

[PDF][PDF] Forecasting With DSGE Models

E Herbst - 2023 - edherbst.net
In this chapter we revisit the forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general
equilibrium (DSGE) models. We find, consistent with prior literature, that the forecasts from a …

[PDF][PDF] Parallel Tempering for DSGE Estimation

J Brault - 2024 - bankofcanada.ca
I develop a population-based Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm known as parallel
tempering to estimate dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. Parallel tempering …

[PDF][PDF] Unpacking the Forward Guidance Puzzle

S AHN - norges-bank.no
I prove that in any linearized general equilibrium model with existence and uniqueness of
equilibrium, any present response to a future shock always becomes weaker the further …