Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030

D Atance, MM Claramunt, X Varea, JM Aburto - Plos one, 2024 - journals.plos.org
An empirical question that has motivated demographers is whether there is convergence or
divergence in mortality/longevity around the world. The epidemiological transition is the …

Mortality as a Function of Survival

JA Alvarez, JW Vaupel - Demography, 2023 - read.dukeupress.edu
Everyone has a chronological age. Because survivorship declines relentlessly in
populations with age-specific death rates greater than zero, everyone also has a …

Modelling the age distribution of longevity leaders

C Kiss, L Németh, B Vető - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
Human longevity leaders with remarkably long lifespan play a crucial role in the
advancement of longevity research. In this paper, we propose a stochastic model to describe …

Measuring population health using health expectancy estimates from morbidity and mortality databases

M Carreras, P Ibern, JM Inoriza - Plos one, 2024 - journals.plos.org
The progressive incorporation of quality of life indicators in health planning meets a critical
need: The evaluation of the performance of health services, which are under stress by …

Mortality postponement and compression at older ages in human cohorts

D McCarthy, PL Wang - PLoS One, 2023 - journals.plos.org
A key but unresolved issue in the study of human mortality at older ages is whether mortality
is being compressed (which implies that we may be approaching a maximum limit to the …

Using a penalized likelihood to detect mortality deceleration

S C. Patricio, TI Missov - Plos one, 2023 - journals.plos.org
We suggest a novel method for detecting mortality deceleration by adding a penalty to the
log-likelihood function in a gamma-Gompertz setting. This is an alternative to traditional …

The curse of the plateau. Measuring confidence in human mortality estimates at extreme ages

CG Camarda - Theoretical Population Biology, 2022 - Elsevier
In recent years, the importance of describing mortality at the limits of the life span has led to
a number of relevant and controversial studies. Whereas considerable efforts have been …

How life-table right-censoring affected the Brazilian Social Security Factor: an application of the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model

FC de Souza, W Bernardino, SC Patricio - Journal of Population Research, 2024 - Springer
Abstract Automatic Adjustment Mechanisms (AAMs) are legal instruments that help social
security systems respond to demographic and economic changes. In Brazil, the Social …

The global pattern of centenarians highlights deep problems in demography

SJ Newman - medRxiv, 2024 - medrxiv.org
Accurate age data is fundamental to medicine, social sciences, epidemiology, and good
government. However, recent and heavily disputed debates on data quality have raised …

On Gamma-Gompertz-Makeham Assurances and Life Annuities

F Castellares, S Patricio, A Lemonte - Austrian Journal of Statistics, 2024 - ajs.or.at
We focus on the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model, and derive useful structural properties
for this mortality model. We provide the basic properties like moments, remaining life …