Developing, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions

L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

[HTML][HTML] The 2020 European seismic hazard model: overview and results

L Danciu, D Giardini, G Weatherill… - … Hazards and Earth …, 2024 - nhess.copernicus.org
The 2020 update of the European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) is the most recent and
up-to-date assessment of seismic hazard for the Euro-Mediterranean region. The new …

The seismicity rate model for the 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand national seismic hazard model

MC Gerstenberger, R Van Dissen… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
ABSTRACT A seismicity rate model (SRM) has been developed as part of the 2022
Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model revision. The SRM consists of many …

The New Zealand Community Fault Model–version 1.0: An improved geological foundation for seismic hazard modelling

H Seebeck, R Van Dissen, N Litchfield… - New Zealand Journal …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
ABSTRACT The New Zealand Community Fault Model (NZ CFM) is a publicly available
representation of New Zealand fault zones that have the potential to produce damaging …

The ground‐motion characterization model for the 2022 New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model

BA Bradley, SS Bora, RL Lee… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
This article summarizes the ground‐motion characterization (GMC) model component of the
2022 New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model (2022 NZ NSHM). The model …

The 2023 New Zealand ground‐motion database

JA Hutchinson, C Zhu, BA Bradley… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
This article summarizes the development of the 2023 New Zealand ground‐motion
database (NZGMDB). A preceding version was formally used as the central ground‐motion …

A seismogenic slab source model for Aotearoa New Zealand

KKS Thingbaijam… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Intraslab seismicity within the Hikurangi and Puysegur subduction zones constitutes> 50%
of recorded (M w≥ 4.0 events) earthquakes in Aotearoa New Zealand. Here, we develop a …

New Zealand Fault‐Rupture Depth Model v. 1.0: A Provisional Estimate of the Maximum Depth of Seismic Rupture on New Zealand's Active Faults

S Ellis, S Bannister, R Van Dissen… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We summarize estimates of the maximum rupture depth on New Zealand's active faults
(“New Zealand Fault‐Rupture Depth Model v. 1.0”), as used in the New Zealand Community …

Evaluation of empirical ground‐motion models for the 2022 New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model revision

RL Lee, BA Bradley, EF Manea… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
This article presents an evaluation of empirical ground‐motion models (GMMs) for active
shallow crustal, subduction interface, and subduction slab earthquakes using a recently …

The New Zealand paleoseismic site database, version 1.0

NJ Litchfield, J Humphrey… - Seismological …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Site‐specific paleoseismic data are key datasets underpinning the parameterization of large
(M w∼ 7+) earthquakes on faults in seismic hazard models. For the New Zealand National …