Option return predictability with machine learning and big data

TG Bali, H Beckmeyer, M Moerke… - The Review of Financial …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Drawing upon more than 12 million observations over the period from 1996 to 2020, we find
that allowing for nonlinearities significantly increases the out-of-sample performance of …

[图书][B] Empirical asset pricing: The cross section of stock returns

TG Bali, RF Engle, S Murray - 2016 - books.google.com
“Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques
and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by …

Currency momentum strategies

L Menkhoff, L Sarno, M Schmeling… - Journal of Financial …, 2012 - Elsevier
We provide a broad empirical investigation of momentum strategies in the foreign exchange
market. We find a significant cross-sectional spread in excess returns of up to 10% per …

The joint cross section of stocks and options

BJ An, A Ang, TG Bali, N Cakici - The Journal of Finance, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Stocks with large increases in call (put) implied volatilities over the previous month tend to
have high (low) future returns. Sorting stocks ranked into decile portfolios by past call …

Risk management and corporate social responsibility

S Kim, G Lee, HG Kang - Strategic Management Journal, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Research Summary We introduce an innovative method of identifying the risk‐
management benefit of corporate social responsibility (CSR). Option‐implied volatility …

The price of correlation risk: Evidence from equity options

J Driessen, PJ Maenhout, G Vilkov - The Journal of Finance, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
We study whether exposure to marketwide correlation shocks affects expected option
returns, using data on S&P100 index options, options on all components, and stock returns …

Stock options as lotteries

BH Boyer, K Vorkink - The Journal of Finance, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
We investigate the relationship between ex ante total skewness and holding returns on
individual equity options. Recent theoretical developments predict a negative relationship …

Jump risk, stock returns, and slope of implied volatility smile

S Yan - Journal of Financial Economics, 2011 - Elsevier
In the presence of jump risk, expected stock return is a function of the average jump size,
which can be proxied by the slope of option implied volatility smile. This implies a negative …

Cross section of option returns and idiosyncratic stock volatility

J Cao, B Han - Journal of Financial Economics, 2013 - Elsevier
This paper presents a robust new finding that delta-hedged equity option return decreases
monotonically with an increase in the idiosyncratic volatility of the underlying stock. This …

Does risk-neutral skewness predict the cross-section of equity option portfolio returns?

TG Bali, S Murray - Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2013 - cambridge.org
We investigate the pricing of risk-neutral skewness in the stock options market by creating
skewness assets comprised of two option positions (one long and one short) and a position …