Modeling and prediction of aftershock activity

S Baranov, C Narteau, P Shebalin - Surveys in Geophysics, 2022 - Springer
We provide an overview of the basic models of the aftershock processes and advanced
methods used to predict postseismic hazard. We consider both the physical mechanisms for …

Earthquake productivity law

PN Shebalin, C Narteau… - Geophysical journal …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Mechanisms of stress transfer and probabilistic models have been widely investigated to
explain earthquake clustering features. However, these approaches are still far from being …

Impact of aseismic transients on the estimation of aftershock productivity parameters

S Hainzl, O Zakharova… - Bulletin of the …, 2013 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model has been shown to describe
successfully the statistical seismicity properties, if earthquake triggering is related to tectonic …

Aftershocks triggered by fluid intrusion: Evidence for the aftershock sequence occurred 2014 in West Bohemia/Vogtland

S Hainzl, T Fischer, H Čermáková… - Journal of …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The West Bohemia/Vogtland region, central Europe, is well known for its repeating
swarm activity. However, the latest activity in 2014, although spatially overlapping with …

The limits of predictability of volcanic eruptions from accelerating rates of earthquakes

AF Bell, M Naylor, IG Main - Geophysical Journal International, 2013 - academic.oup.com
Volcanic eruptions are commonly preceded by increased rates of earthquakes. Previous
studies argue that in some instances these sequences follow the inverse Omori law (IOL) …

Bayesian estimation of the ETAS model for earthquake occurrences

GJ Ross - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of …, 2021 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is widely used in seismic
forecasting. However, most studies of ETAS use point estimates for the model parameters …

Depth dependent stress revealed by aftershocks

P Shebalin, C Narteau - Nature communications, 2017 - nature.com
Characterising the state of stress in the brittle upper-crust is essential in mechanics of
faulting, industrial production processes, and operational earthquake forecasting …

ETAS‐approach accounting for short‐term incompleteness of earthquake catalogs

S Hainzl - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of …, 2022 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is a powerful statistical model to
explain and forecast the spatiotemporal evolution of seismicity. However, its parameter …

Statistics and forecasting of aftershocks during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence

R Shcherbakov - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence represents a complex
pattern of seismicity that is characterized by the occurrence of a well‐defined foreshock …

Nontrivial decay of aftershock density with distance in Southern California

J Moradpour, S Hainzl… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
The decay of the aftershock density with distance plays an important role in the discussion of
the dominant underlying cause of earthquake triggering. Here, we provide evidence that its …