Forecasting realized volatility: New evidence from time‐varying jumps in VIX

A Dutta, D Das - Journal of Futures Markets, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Given that jumps in the implied volatility index (VIX) lead to rapid changes in the level of
volatility, they may contain significant predictive information for the realized variance (RV) of …

Volatility and jump with intraday periodicity and truncated power variation in Chinese yuan-US dollar exchange rates

CD Yi - Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
This study analyzes the discrete jump volatility of the Chinese yuan/US dollar exchange rate
returns using high-frequency five-minute returns from June 2012 to April 2021. Using …

VIX futures pricing based on high‐frequency VIX: A hybrid approach combining SVR with parametric models

G Qiao, G Jiang - Journal of Futures Markets, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a novel hybrid approach for volatility index (VIX) futures pricing by combining
support vector regression (SVR) with parametric models. Realized semivariances calculated …

Volatility of Volatility and VIX Forecasting: New Evidence Based on Jumps, the Short‐Term and Long‐Term Volatility

G Qiao, W Cui, Y Zhou, C Liang - Journal of Futures Markets, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
This study explores VIX forecasting by proposing a novel model to characterize the volatility
of volatility based on high‐frequency VIX. Specifically, the decomposed jumps, the short …

Pricing VIX Futures and Options With Good and Bad Volatility of Volatility

Z Guo, Z Huang, C Tong - Journal of Futures Markets, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
This article studies the pricing of VIX futures and options by directly modeling the dynamics
of VIX, based on realized semivariances computed from high‐frequency data of VIX. We …

Directly pricing VIX futures with observable dynamic jumps based on high‐frequency VIX

G Jiang, G Qiao, F Ma, L Wang - Journal of Futures Markets, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This paper proposes to study volatility index (VIX) futures pricing by directly modeling the
logarithmic VIX while incorporating observable dynamic jumps of the VIX, which are derived …

Pricing VIX futures: A framework with random level shifts

X Chen, JF Feng, T Wang - Finance Research Letters, 2023 - Elsevier
We propose a DRLS framework to price VIX futures by modeling the logVIX series dynamics
using the ARFIMA and HAR models that introduce the random level shifts component …