Abstract The Calabrian Arc represents one of the most active sectors of the upper plate of
the Tyrrhenian-Ionian subduction system. This research aims to reconstruct the evolution of …

A multidisciplinary work integrating structural, geodetic and seismological data was
performed in the Catanzaro Trough (central Calabria, Italy) to define the seismotectonic …

Reliable forecasting tools must be formalized and tested, first in retrospect and then in
experimental real‐time mode. The operational issues of monitoring, validation, and use of …

Recognizing the seismogenic source of major historical earthquakes, particularly when
these have occurred offshore, is a long-standing issue across the Mediterranean Sea and …

Calculating seismic hazard usually requires input that includes seismicity associated with
known faults, historical earthquake catalogs, geodesy, and models of ground shaking. This …

Earthquake clustering is a significant feature of seismic catalogs, both in time and space.
Several methodologies for earthquake cluster identification have been proposed in the …

The probability distribution of the interevent time between two successive earthquakes has
been the subject of numerous studies for its key role in seismic hazard assessment. In recent …

This paper presents a complete methodology for Bayesian inference on a semi-Markov
process, from the elicitation of the prior distribution, to the computation of posterior …

The recent M w 6.3 destructive L'Aquila earthquake has further stimulated the improvement
of the Italian operational earthquake forecasting capability at different time intervals. Here …

In this paper, some methods for scoring the performances of an earthquake forecasting
probability model are applied retrospectively for different goals. The time-dependent …