Predicting corporate bond returns: Merton meets machine learning

TG Bali, A Goyal, D Huang, F Jiang… - … McDonough School of …, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
We investigate the return predictability of corporate bonds using big data and machine
learning. We find that machine learning models substantially improve the out-of-sample …

Long-term reversals in the corporate bond market

TG Bali, A Subrahmanyam, Q Wen - Journal of Financial Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Long-term reversals in corporate bonds are economically and statistically significant in a
comprehensive sample spanning the period 1977 to 2017. Such reversals are stronger for …

Decomposing the accrual premium: The evidence from two markets

D Chichernea, A Holder… - Journal of Business …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
We decompose the accrual premium and study its components in the debt and equity
markets. We show that the importance of each accrual component depends on the sample …

Fund flows, liquidity, and asset prices

M Kim - Liquidity, and Asset Prices (January 14, 2024), 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper shows empirically that mutual funds, facing fund flow risk and liquidity risk,
significantly distort expected corporate bond returns due to their distinct asset demands as …

Reaching for yield and the cross section of bond returns

Q Chen, J Choi - Management Science, 2023 - pubsonline.informs.org
Reaching for yield, which we define as an investor preference for higher-yield bonds at a
given rating or for higher-rated bonds at given yields, is associated with inflated valuation …

Asset Growth Anomaly of Corporate Bonds: A Decomposition Analysis

F Chen, Y Li, W Wu, T Yu - Available at SSRN 3968682, 2021 - papers.ssrn.com
There is a pervasive inverse relationship between corporate asset growth rates and bond
performance. Lower performance of bonds issued by high-asset growth firms may be the …

A Bankruptcy Risk Factor

J Neumann - 2021 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper introduces a factor based on an estimated probability of bankruptcy—a measure
of the risk a typical investor will lose their investment, or the cost of insuring that investment …

Multivariate Bilateral Gamma Process with Financial Application and Machine Learning in Corporate Bond Market

Y Zhang - 2022 - search.proquest.com
This dissertation consists of three essays. Chapter 1 is titled “Calibration for multivariate
bilateral gamma model”. In this chapter, we discuss the multivariate bilateral gamma (MBG) …

[PDF][PDF] Essays on Momentum and Its Sources of Abnormal Returns

H Verma - 2022 - jscholarship.library.jhu.edu
In the first chapter, I investigate the effects of private information in determining price
momentum, as measured by the probability of informed trading (PIN). Leveraging recent …

Essays on Big Data and Machine Learning in Asset Pricing

J Neumann - 2022 - search.proquest.com
This dissertation studies the cross-section of asset returns. That is, why do certain assets
receive higher average returns than others and what factors drive these differences in …