Antigovernment networks in civil conflicts: How network structures affect conflictual behavior

NW Metternich, C Dorff, M Gallop… - American Journal of …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
In this article, we combine a game‐theoretic treatment of public goods provision in networks
with a statistical network analysis to show that fragmented opposition network structures …

The diversity of repression: Measuring state repressive repertoires with events data

BE Bagozzi, D Berliner… - Journal of Peace …, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
Tactical repertoires of mobilization and repression play an essential role in understanding
dynamics of political violence, yet existing quantitative approaches focus primarily on …

Forecasting civil conflict with zero-inflated count models

BE Bagozzi - Civil Wars, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
Advances in the study of civil war have led to the proliferation of event count data, and to a
corresponding increase in the use of (zero-inflated) count models for the quantitative …

[PDF][PDF] Predicting future levels of violence in afghanistan districts using gdelt

JE Yonamine - Unpublished manuscript, 2013 - data.gdeltproject.org
For centuries, key pillars of the philosophy of science like Francis Bacon and David Hume,
have stressed that scientific progress occurs through the development of consistently …

Data-based computational approaches to forecasting political violence

PA Schrodt, J Yonamine, BE Bagozzi - Handbook of computational …, 2012 - Springer
The challenge of terrorism dates back centuries if not millennia. Until recently, the basic
approaches to analyzing terrorism—historical analogy and monitoring the contemporary …

Human rights violations in space: assessing the external validity of machine-geocoded versus human-geocoded data

L Stundal, BE Bagozzi, JR Freeman, JS Holmes - Political Analysis, 2023 - cambridge.org
Political event data are widely used in studies of political violence. Recent years have seen
notable advances in the automated coding of political event data from international news …

[图书][B] A nuanced study of political conflict using the Global Datasets of Events Location and Tone (GDELT) dataset

JE Yonamine - 2013 - search.proquest.com
As you read this sentence, know that a riot is occurring somewhere in the world. Elsewhere,
or perhaps in the same location, government forces are constructing a barricade and a …

Multi-level analysis of peace and conflict data in GDELT

S Keertipati, BTR Savarimuthu, M Purvis… - Proceedings of the …, 2014 - dl.acm.org
Huge amounts of news items are being published from various sources around the world.
Our interest in this paper is from the perspective of peace keeping organizations such as …

A guide to event data: past, present, and future

P Schrodt, J Yonamine - All Azimuth: A Journal of Foreign Policy …, 2013 - dergipark.org.tr
The goal of this paper is to provide a general overview of event data and its importance in
the study of political conflict. In doing so, we illustrate how the level of methodological …

Can we forecast conflict? A framework for forecasting global human societal behavior using latent narrative indicators

K Leetaru - 2016 - ideals.illinois.edu
The ability to successfully forecast impending societal unrest, from riots and protests to
assassinations and coups, would fundamentally transform the ability of nations to proactively …