This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take
a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the …

When making decisions, people naturally face uncertainty about the potential consequences
of their actions due in part to limits in their capacity to represent, evaluate or deliberate …

Decision theory is concerned with the reasoning underlying an agent's choices, whether this
is a mundane choice between taking the bus or getting a taxi, or a more far-reaching choice …

It is argued that the" inner" negation∼ familiar from 3-valued logic can be interpreted as a
form of" conditional" negation:∼ A is read'A is false if it has a truth value'. It is argued that this …

The desirability of what actually occurs is often influenced by what could have been.
Preferences based on such value dependencies between actual and counterfactual …

Suppose I am deliberating whether I should live on a boat and sail the Caribbean for a year.
This is a decision not to be taken lightly. Many factors will matter for my decision. Several of …

This paper provides new foundations for Bayesian Decision Theory based on a
representation theorem for preferences defined on a set of prospects containing both factual …

Adams' Thesis has much evidence in its favour, but DavidLewis famously showed that it
cannot be true, in all but the most trivial of cases, if conditionals are proprositions and their …

Bayesian decision theories are formal theories of rational agency that tell us both what the
properties of a rational state of mind are and what action it is rational for an agent to perform …

In The Logic of Decision Richard Jeffrey defends a version of expected utility theory that
advises agents to choose acts with an eye to securing evidence for thinking that desirable …