What does' if'mean? It is one of the most commonly used words in the English language, in
itself a sign to the importance of conditional thinking to human cognitive life. We make …

When making decisions, people naturally face uncertainty about the potential consequences
of their actions due in part to limits in their capacity to represent, evaluate or deliberate …

Despite its small stature," if" occupies a central place both in everyday language and the
philosophical lexicon. In allowing us to talk about hypothetical situations," if" raises a host of …

This paper explores trivalent truth conditions for indicative conditionals, examining the
“defective” truth table proposed by de Finetti (1936) and Reichenbach (1935, 1944). On their …

It is argued that the" inner" negation∼ familiar from 3-valued logic can be interpreted as a
form of" conditional" negation:∼ A is read'A is false if it has a truth value'. It is argued that this …

Adams's Thesis, the claim that the probabilities of indicative conditionals equal the
conditional probabilities of their consequents given their antecedents, has proven …

Adams' thesis is generally agreed to be linguistically compelling for simple conditionals with
factual antecedent and consequent. We propose a derivation of Adams' thesis from the …

ABSTRACT A trivalent theory of indicative conditionals automatically enforces Stalnaker's
thesis–the equation between probabilities of conditionals and conditional probabilities. This …

Assigning truth-conditions to conditional statements leads to problems in assigning
probabilities to those statements (Lewis, 1976). This note presents and assesses a trivalent …

An alleged counterexample to causal decision theory, put forward by Andy Egan, is studied
in some detail. It is argued that Egan rejects the evaluation of causal decision theory on the …