No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes
(minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for …

Surface Latent Heat Flux (SLHF) is an atmospheric parameter proportional to the
evaporation from the Earth's surface. SLHF has been found to exhibit an anomalous …

There are two fundamentally different approaches to assessing the probabilistic risk of
earthquake occurrence. The first is fault based. The statistical occurrence of earthquakes is …

Short-term earthquake prediction, months in advance, is an elusive goal of earth sciences, of
great importance for fundamental science and for disaster preparedness. Here, we describe …

In this paper we propose a branching aftershock sequence (BASS) model for seismicity. We
suggest that the BASS model is a preferred alternative to the widely studied epidemic type …

Back analysis for evaluation of the merits of the short-term seismic hazard indicators
(precursors) used in the mines and their potential application for early warning was carried …

We introduce a method to estimate the failure time of a class of weighted k-out-of-n systems
using the idea of rational expectations, which to the best of our knowledge is a new …

Summary In 2003, the Reverse Tracing of Precursors (RTP) algorithm attracted the attention
of seismologists and international news agencies when researchers claimed two successful …

“Earthquake chains” are clusters of moderate-size earthquakes which extend over large
distances and are formed by statistically rare pairs of events that are close in space and time …

There are a number of reports on seismic quiescence phenomena before large
earthquakes. The RTL algorithm is a weighted coefficient statistical method that takes into …