Predictability of Antarctic sea ice edge on subseasonal time scales

L Zampieri, HF Goessling, T Jung - Geophysical Research …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Coupled subseasonal forecast systems with dynamical sea ice have the potential of
providing important predictive information in polar regions. Here, we evaluate the ability of …

Assessment of high‐resolution dynamical and machine learning models for prediction of sea ice concentration in a regional application

S Fritzner, R Graversen… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
In this study, the potential for sea ice concentration prediction using machine‐learning
methods is investigated. Three different sea ice prediction models are compared: one high …

Coproducing sea ice predictions with stakeholders using simulation

B Blair, M Müller, C Palerme, R Blair… - Weather, Climate …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Forecasts of sea ice evolution in the Arctic region for several months ahead can be of
considerable socioeconomic value for a diverse range of marine sectors and for local …

[HTML][HTML] Validation metrics for ice edge position forecasts

A Melsom, C Palerme, M Müller - Ocean Science, 2019 - os.copernicus.org
The ice edge is a simple quantity in the form of a line that can be derived from a spatially
varying sea ice concentration field. Due to its long history and relevance for operations in the …

Improving short-term sea ice concentration forecasts using deep learning

C Palerme, T Lavergne, J Rusin, A Melsom… - The …, 2024 - tc.copernicus.org
Reliable short-term sea ice forecasts are needed to support maritime operations in polar
regions. While sea ice forecasts produced by physically based models still have limited …

[HTML][HTML] The 2020 international verification methods workshop online: major outcomes and way forward

B Casati, M Dorninger, CAS Coelho… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The International Verification Methods Workshop was held online in November
2020 and included sessions on physical error characterization using process diagnostics …

An assessment of subseasonal prediction skill of the Antarctic sea ice edge

Y Gao, Y Xiu, Y Nie, H Luo, Q Yang… - Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
In this study, the subseasonal Antarctic sea ice edge prediction skill of the Copernicus
Climate Change Service (C3S) and Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) projects was evaluated …

Calibration of subseasonal sea‐ice forecasts using ensemble model output statistics and observational uncertainty

A Dirkson, B Denis, WJ Merryfield… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
In response to a growing demand for improved sea‐ice forecast guidance at shorter
timescales and higher spatial resolutions, this study investigates the predictive skill of daily …

Spatial damped anomaly persistence of the sea ice edge as a benchmark for dynamical forecast systems

B Niraula, HF Goessling - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Accelerated loss of the sea‐ice cover and increased human activities in the Arctic
emphasize the need for skillful prediction of sea‐ice conditions at subseasonal to seasonal …

Passive Microwave Sea Ice Edge Displacement Error over the Eastern Canadian Arctic for the period 2013-2021

A Soleymani, N Saberi, KA Scott - Canadian Journal of Remote …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
In this study, sea ice edge derived from three passive microwave (PM) algorithms, ARTIST
sea ice (ASI), enhanced NASA Team 2 (NT2), and Bootstrap (BT), are compared to those …