Seasonal climate predictability and forecasting: status and prospects

FJ Doblas‐Reyes, J García‐Serrano… - Wiley …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Seasonal climate forecasts occupy an intermediate zone between weather forecasting and
climate projections. They share with the numerical weather prediction the difficulty of …

Tropical cyclones in climate models

SJ Camargo, AA Wing - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
In this review, we provide a historical overview of the simulation of tropical cyclones (TCs) in
climate models, from the first attempts in the 1970s to the current state‐of‐the‐art models …

Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century

KA Emanuel - Proceedings of the National Academy of …, 2013 - National Acad Sciences
A recently developed technique for simulating large [O (104)] numbers of tropical cyclones in
climate states described by global gridded data is applied to simulations of historical and …

Hurricane Harvey links to ocean heat content and climate change adaptation

KE Trenberth, L Cheng, P Jacobs, Y Zhang… - Earth's …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
While hurricanes occur naturally, human‐caused climate change is supercharging them and
exacerbating the risk of major damage. Here using ocean and atmosphere observations, we …

[HTML][HTML] On the seasonal forecasting of regional tropical cyclone activity

GA Vecchi, T Delworth, R Gudgel, S Kapnick… - Journal of …, 2014 - journals.ametsoc.org
On the Seasonal Forecasting of Regional Tropical Cyclone Activity in: Journal of Climate
Volume 27 Issue 21 (2014) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo …

[HTML][HTML] Seasonal predictions of tropical cyclones using a 25-km-resolution general circulation model

JH Chen, SJ Lin - Journal of Climate, 2013 - journals.ametsoc.org
Seasonal Predictions of Tropical Cyclones Using a 25-km-Resolution General Circulation
Model in: Journal of Climate Volume 26 Issue 2 (2013) Jump to Content Jump to Main …

[HTML][HTML] Influence of tropical tropopause layer cooling on Atlantic hurricane activity

K Emanuel, S Solomon, D Folini, S Davis… - Journal of …, 2013 - journals.ametsoc.org
Influence of Tropical Tropopause Layer Cooling on Atlantic Hurricane Activity in: Journal of
Climate Volume 26 Issue 7 (2013) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo …

[HTML][HTML] Statistical–dynamical predictions of seasonal North Atlantic hurricane activity

GA Vecchi, M Zhao, H Wang, G Villarini… - Monthly Weather …, 2011 - journals.ametsoc.org
Statistical–Dynamical Predictions of Seasonal North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in: Monthly
Weather Review Volume 139 Issue 4 (2011) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …

Seasonal forecasting of tropical storms using the Met Office GloSea5 seasonal forecast system

J Camp, M Roberts, C MacLachlan… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
The variability and predictability of tropical storm activity in the Met Office fully coupled
atmosphere–ocean Global Seasonal Forecast System 5 (GloSea5) is assessed. GloSea5 is …

The remarkable predictability of inter‐annual variability of Atlantic hurricanes during the past decade

JH Chen, SJ Lin - Geophysical Research Letters, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
A newly developed global model, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) High‐
Resolution Atmospheric Model (HiRAM) which is designed for both weather predictions and …