Machine learning advances for time series forecasting

RP Masini, MC Medeiros… - Journal of economic …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning (ML) and
high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear …

Machine learning time series regressions with an application to nowcasting

A Babii, E Ghysels, J Striaukas - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
This article introduces structured machine learning regressions for high-dimensional time
series data potentially sampled at different frequencies. The sparse-group LASSO estimator …

ℓ1-regularization of high-dimensional time-series models with non-Gaussian and heteroskedastic errors

MC Medeiros, EF Mendes - Journal of Econometrics, 2016 - Elsevier
We study the asymptotic properties of the Adaptive LASSO (adaLASSO) in sparse, high-
dimensional, linear time-series models. The adaLASSO is a one-step implementation of the …

Regularized estimation of high‐dimensional vector autoregressions with weakly dependent innovations

RP Masini, MC Medeiros… - Journal of Time Series …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
There has been considerable advance in understanding the properties of sparse
regularization procedures in high‐dimensional models. In time series context, it is mostly …

Predicting inflation component drivers in Nigeria: a stacked ensemble approach

EO Akande, EO Akanni, OF Taiwo, JD Joshua… - SN Business & …, 2022 - Springer
Our study examined the disaggregation of inflation components in Nigeria using the stacked
ensemble approach, a machine learning algorithm capable of compensating the weakness …

High dimensional time series regression models: Applications to statistical learning methods

C Katsouris - arXiv preprint arXiv:2308.16192, 2023 - arxiv.org
These lecture notes provide an overview of existing methodologies and recent
developments for estimation and inference with high dimensional time series regression …

On the adaptive Lasso estimator of AR (p) time series with applications to INAR (p) and Hawkes processes

D De Canditiis, GL Torrisi - Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 2024 - Elsevier
We investigate the consistency and the rate of convergence of the adaptive Lasso estimator
for the parameters of linear AR (p) time series with a white noise which is a strictly stationary …

Tracking ECB's Communication: Perspectives and implications for financial markets

R Fortes, T Le Guenedal - Available at SSRN 3791244, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
This article assesses the communication of the European Central Bank (ECB) using Natural
Language Processing (NLP) techniques. We show the evolution of discourse over time and …

L_1-Regularization of High-Dimensional Time-Series Models with Flexible Innovations

MC Medeiros, EF Mendes - Available at SSRN 2626507, 2015 - papers.ssrn.com
We study the asymptotic properties of the Adaptive LASSO (adaLASSO) in sparse, high-
dimensional, linear time-series models. We assume that both the number of covariates in the …

Lasso and Ridge for GARCH-X Models

W Yamaka, P Maneejuk, S Thongkairat - International Symposium on …, 2023 - Springer
This paper examines the efficacy of the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator
(Lasso) and Ridge algorithms in improving the volatility forecasting of the Generalized …