Part 1 of this paper has discussed the uncertainties arising from gaps in knowledge or
limited understanding of the processes involved in different natural hazard areas. Such …

We report a statistical mixed model for assessing the importance of climate and non-climate
drivers of interannual variability in dengue fever in southern coastal Ecuador. Local climate …

Background With more than a million spectators expected to travel among 12 different cities
in Brazil during the football World Cup, June 12–July 13, 2014, the risk of the mosquito …

Previous studies demonstrate statistically significant associations between disease and
climate variations, highlighting the potential for developing climate‐based epidemic early …

Recently, a prototype dengue early warning system was developed to produce probabilistic
forecasts of dengue risk three months ahead of the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. Here, we …

Uncertainties in natural hazard risk assessment are generally dominated by the sources
arising from lack of knowledge or understanding of the processes involved. There is a lack of …

BACKGROUND: Delirium is a postoperative neurological morbidity in glioblastoma whose
risk factors, incidence, and prognostic implications remain undefined. OBJECTIVE: To …

Interest in seasonal forecasting is growing fast in many environmental and socio-economic
sectors due to the huge potential of these predictions to assist in decision making processes …

Phytoplankton form the base of the marine food chain, and knowledge of phytoplankton
community structure is fundamental when assessing marine biodiversity. Policy makers and …

ABSTRACT The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO), a prominent feature of the tropical
atmospheric circulation at subseasonal time scales, is known to modulate atmospheric …