Seismicity-based earthquake forecasting techniques: Ten years of progress

KF Tiampo, R Shcherbakov - Tectonophysics, 2012 - Elsevier
Earthquake fault systems interact over a broad spectrum of spatial and temporal scales and,
in recent years, studies of the regional seismicity in a variety of regions have produced a …

Analyzing earthquake clustering features by using stochastic reconstruction

J Zhuang, Y Ogata… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2004 - Wiley Online Library
On the basis of the epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model and the thinning
procedure, this paper gives the method about how to classify the earthquakes in a given …

Quantifying reflexivity in financial markets: Toward a prediction of flash crashes

V Filimonov, D Sornette - Physical Review E—Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft …, 2012 - APS
We introduce a measure of activity of financial markets that provides a direct access to their
level of endogeneity. This measure quantifies how much of price changes is due to …

Comparison of short-term and time-independent earthquake forecast models for southern California

A Helmstetter, YY Kagan… - Bulletin of the …, 2006 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We have initially developed a time-independent forecast for southern California by
smoothing the locations of magnitude 2 and larger earthquakes. We show that using small …

A spatiotemporal clustering model for the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3‐ETAS): Toward an operational earthquake forecast

EH Field, KR Milner, JL Hardebeck… - Bulletin of the …, 2017 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract We, the ongoing Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities, present a
spatiotemporal clustering model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture …

Importance of small earthquakes for stress transfers and earthquake triggering

A Helmstetter, YY Kagan… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
We estimate the relative importance of small and large earthquakes for static stress changes
and for earthquake triggering, assuming that earthquakes are triggered by static stress …

Earthquake swarms on transform faults

E Roland, JJ McGuire - Geophysical Journal International, 2009 - academic.oup.com
Swarm-like earthquake sequences are commonly observed in a diverse range of geological
settings including volcanic and geothermal regions as well as along transform plate …

Foreshock sequences and short-term earthquake predictability on East Pacific Rise transform faults

JJ McGuire, MS Boettcher, TH Jordan - Nature, 2005 - nature.com
Abstract East Pacific Rise transform faults are characterized by high slip rates (more than ten
centimetres a year), predominately aseismic slip and maximum earthquake magnitudes of …

The effect of declustering on the size distribution of mainshocks

L Mizrahi, S Nandan, S Wiemer - … Society of America, 2021 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Declustering aims to divide earthquake catalogs into independent events (mainshocks), and
dependent (clustered) events, and is an integral component of many seismicity studies …

Evidence for coupled seismic and aseismic fault slip during water injection in the geothermal site of Soultz (France), and implications for seismogenic transients

S Bourouis, P Bernard - Geophysical Journal International, 2007 - academic.oup.com
We analysed the triggered seismicity recorded near 3 km in depth within granite during the
1993 water injection experiment at Soultz (France). We selected all large multiplets …