[HTML][HTML] Multilevel sequential monte carlo samplers

A Beskos, A Jasra, K Law, R Tempone… - Stochastic Processes and …, 2017 - Elsevier
In this article we consider the approximation of expectations wrt probability distributions
associated to the solution of partial differential equations (PDEs); this scenario appears …

On extended state-space constructions for Monte Carlo methods

A Finke - 2015 - wrap.warwick.ac.uk
This thesis develops computationally efficient methodology in two areas. Firstly, we consider
a particularly challenging class of discretely observed continuous-time point-process …

Scalable bayesian learning for state space models using variational inference with smc samplers

M Hirt, P Dellaportas - The 22nd International Conference …, 2019 - proceedings.mlr.press
We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in
generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that …

Unbiased and multilevel methods for a class of diffusions partially observed via marked point processes

M Alvarez, A Jasra, H Ruzayqat - Statistics and Computing, 2024 - Springer
In this article we consider the filtering problem associated to partially observed diffusions,
with observations following a marked point process. In the model, the data form a point …

Sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo for Lagrangian data assimilation with applications to unknown data locations

H Ruzayqat, A Beskos, D Crisan… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We consider a class of high‐dimensional spatial filtering problems, where the spatial
locations of observations are unknown and driven by the partially observed hidden signal …

Local Sequential MCMC for Data Assimilation with Applications in Geoscience

H Ruzayqat, O Knio - arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.07111, 2024 - arxiv.org
This paper presents a new data assimilation (DA) scheme based on a sequential Markov
Chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) DA technique [Ruzayqat et al. 2024] which is provably …

Adaptive sequential Monte Carlo for multiple changepoint analysis

NA Heard, MJM Turcotte - Journal of Computational and Graphical …, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
Process monitoring and control requires the detection of structural changes in a data stream
in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed …

Static-parameter estimation in piecewise deterministic processes using particle Gibbs samplers

A Finke, AM Johansen, D Spanò - Annals of the Institute of Statistical …, 2014 - Springer
We develop particle Gibbs samplers for static-parameter estimation in discretely observed
piecewise deterministic process (PDPs). PDPs are stochastic processes that jump randomly …

[PDF][PDF] Estimating self-excitation effects for social media using the Hawkes process

D MacKinlay - Departement Management, Technologie und …, 2015 - emeritus.er.ethz.ch
Are viral dynamics, the peer-to-peer propagation of ideas and trends, important in social
media systems, compared to external influence? Are such dynamics quantifiable? Are they …

Recursive Backward Scheme for the Solution of a BSDE with a non Lipschitz Generator

P Tardelli - Probability in the Engineering and Informational …, 2017 - cambridge.org
On an incomplete financial market, the stocks are modeled as pure jump processes subject
to defaults. The exponential utility maximization problem is investigated characterizing the …